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. 2021 May 25;373(6551):eabi5273. doi: 10.1126/science.abi5273

Table 2. Pairwise age comparisons of first-positive RT-PCR viral load and estimated culture probability calculated from spline regression or raw data.

Only the spline-based regression adjusts for effects of the test center and RT-PCR system. Differences are mean differences, with 90% credible intervals or confidence intervals from null-hypothesis significance testing given in parentheses. P values are from Mann-Whitney U tests (96).

Spline-based regression (adjusted) Raw data (unadjusted)
Sample Comparison Culture probability difference log10(load difference) log10(load difference) P
All 0–5 vs. 20–65 –0.067 (–0.167, –0.002) –0.50 (–0.62, –0.37) –0.49 (–0.69, –0.29) <0.001
All 5–10 vs. 20–65 –0.054 (–0.132, –0.002) –0.40 (–0.50, –0.30) –0.38 (–0.64, –0.13) 0.004
All 10–15 vs. 20–65 –0.045 (–0.111, –0.002) –0.30 (–0.39, –0.22) –0.42 (–0.65, –0.18) <0.001
All 15–20 vs. 20–65 –0.033 (–0.076, –0.001) –0.18 (–0.23, –0.12) –0.16 (–0.31, –0.01) 0.033
PAMS 0–5 vs. 20–65 –0.067 (–0.167, –0.002) –0.50 (–0.62, –0.37) –0.49 (–0.69, –0.29) <0.001
PAMS 5–10 vs. 20–65 –0.112 (–0.279, –0.003) –0.63 (–0.96, –0.32) –0.37 (–1.00, 0.26) 0.213
PAMS 10–15 vs. 20–65 –0.092 (–0.228, –0.003) –0.51 (–0.77, –0.26) –0.86 (–1.46, –0.26) 0.004
PAMS 15–20 vs. 20–65 –0.064 (–0.162, –0.002) –0.35 (–0.54, –0.17) –0.56 (–1.10, –0.02) 0.034
Hospitalized 0–5 vs. 20–65 –0.033 (–0.087, –0.001) –0.18 (–0.29, –0.07) –0.26 (–0.52, –0.01) 0.046
Hospitalized 5–10 vs. 20–65 –0.028 (–0.104, 0.009) –0.18 (–0.45, 0.07) –0.36 (–1.10, 0.37) 0.115
Hospitalized 10–15 vs. 20–65 –0.025 (–0.084, 0.003) –0.16 (–0.36, 0.03) –0.48 (–1.38, 0.43) 0.172
Hospitalized 15–20 vs. 20–65 –0.022 (–0.071, 0.001) –0.14 (–0.29, 0.02) –0.11 (–0.97, 0.74) 0.625
Other 0–5 vs. 20–65 –0.018 (–0.055, 0.000) –0.11 (–0.22, 0.01) 0.00 (–0.33, 0.33) 0.845
Other 5–10 vs. 20–65 –0.058 (–0.148, –0.001) –0.36 (–0.51, –0.20) –0.33 (–0.55, –0.10) 0.004
Other 10–15 vs. 20–65 –0.044 (–0.110, –0.001) –0.27 (–0.39, –0.15) –0.10 (–0.40, 0.20) 0.586
Other 15–20 vs. 20–65 –0.026 (–0.072, –0.001) –0.16 (–0.27, –0.06) –0.31 (–0.58, –0.04) 0.045