Fig. 3.

Simulation results over 250 replicates when considering 18 summaries associated to the event either assuming a linear form (figure A) or non-linear form (figure B). Methods are assessed using Mean Square Error of Prediction (MSEP), Brier Score (BS) and Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC). (∗) symbol indicates the presence of MSEP values above 0.2, but not displayed