Table 1.
The monthly observed-predicted death gap in older than 70-years-old population during summer 2021
| Solar Hijri Month (Georgian date) | Tir (22 June-22 July) |
Mordad (23 July-22 August) |
Shahrivar (23 August-22 September |
Summer (22 June-22 September) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COVID-19 reported cases | 518,220 | 1,053,274 | 800,115 | 2,371,609 |
| Predicted-observed death gap in older than 70 group | -8,526 (-18,467-1,414) |
-1,104 (-11,044-8,836) |
-2,671 (-12,612-7,269) |
-12,302 (-42,122-17,519) |
| Predicted-observed death gap in younger than 70 group | -4,845 (-11,732-2,042) |
9,285 (2,398-16,172) |
5,494 (-1,393-12,381) |
9,934 (-10,727-30,595) |
| Percent of death gap in older than 70s to predicted deaths in older than 70s | -31.4 (-67.9- 5.2) |
-3.3 (-32.7- 26.2) |
-8.7 (-41.1- 23.7) |
-13.4 (-46- 19.1) |
| Percent of death gap in older than 70s group to predicted deaths in all-age groups | -17.3 (-37.4 to 2.9) |
-1.8 (-18.3 to 14.6) |
-4.8 (-22.9 to 13.2) |
-7.5 (-25.5 to 10.6) |