TABLE 2.
Hazard ratios (HRs, 95% CI) of diabetes incidence across quartiles of animal and plant sources of meat food groups.
| Total animal and plant substitutes of meat food groups |
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| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | P for trend | |
| Median | 61.0 | 96.1 | 134 | 202 | |
| Interquartile range (g/day) | 48.8–70.5 | 87.6–104 | 123–146 | 179–244 | |
| Diabetes incidence (n) | 148 | 130 | 131 | 140 | |
| Model 1 | 1 | 0.9 (0.7–1.1) | 0.8 (0.6–1.06) | 0.8 (0.6–1.1) | 0.38 |
| Model 2 | 1 | 0.7 (0.6–0.9) | 0.7 (0.5–0.9) | 0.8 (0.6–1.06) | 0.01 |
| Model 3 | 1 | 0.93 (0.77–1.27) | 0.86 (0.75–1.27) | 1.15 (0.86–1.53) | 0.30 |
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Animal sources of meat food groups
|
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| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | ||
|
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| Median | 39.5 | 63.8 | 90.4 | 141 | |
| Interquartile range (g/day) | 31.1–46.4 | 58.0–69.8 | 82.7–99.2 | 123–178 | |
| Diabetes incidence (n) | 155 | 126 | 133 | 135 | |
| Model 1 | 1 | 0.8 (0.6–1.0) | 0.8 (0.6–1.1) | 0.9 (0.7–1.1) | 0.7 |
| Model 2 | 1 | 0.9 (0.7–1.2) | 1.1 (0.8–1.4) | 1.2 (0.9–1.6) | 0.02 |
| Model 3 | 1 | 1.05 (0.82–1.34) | 1.14 (0.89–1.42) | 1.26 (0.96–1.64) | 0.17 |
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Plant substitute of meat food groups
|
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| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | ||
|
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| Median | 9.39 | 21.4 | 37.8 | 75.4 | |
| Interquartile range (g/day) | 6.07–12.1 | 18.5–24.8 | 32.9–43.9 | 62.3–96.8 | |
| Diabetes incidence (n) | 159 | 132 | 111 | 147 | |
| Model 1 | 1 | 0.8 (0.7–1.1) | 0.7 (0.6–1.0) | 1.1 (0.8–1.4) | 0.18 |
| Model 2 | 1 | 0.9 (0.7–1.1) | 0.8 (0.6–1.0) | 1.0 (0.8–1.3) | 0.36 |
| Model 3 | 1 | 0.72 (0.56–0.92) | 0.61 (0.47–0.79) | 0.74 (0.57–0.97) | 0.46 |
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Legumes
|
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| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | ||
|
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| Median | 4.80 | 13.7 | 26.0 | 57.8 | |
| Interquartile range (g/day) | 2.74–6.83 | 11.1–16.6 | 21.1–30.4 | 46.1–73.9 | |
| Diabetes incidence (n) | 160 | 126 | 128 | 135 | |
| Model 1 | 1 | 0.8 (0.6–1.1) | 0.9 (0.73–1.1) | 1.01 (0.8–1.2) | 0.6 |
| Model 2 | 1 | 0.8 (0.6–1.1) | 0.9 (0.7–1.1) | 0.9 (0.7–1.1) | 0.9 |
| Model 3 | 1 | 0.74 (0.58–0.94) | 0.69 (0.54–0.90) | 0.65 (0.50–0.84) | 0.01 |
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Nuts
|
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| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | ||
|
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| Median | 0.81 | 2.70 | 5.92 | 15.0 | |
| Interquartile range (g/day) | 0.43–1.33 | 2.28–3.39 | 4.85–7.45 | 10.7–22.2 | |
| Diabetes incidence (n) | 148 | 129 | 137 | 135 | |
| Model 1 | 1 | 0.8 (0.6–1.0) | 0.9 (0.7–1.1) | 0.9 (0.7–1.1) | 0.8 |
| Model 2 | 1 | 0.9 (0.7–1.2) | 0.9 (0.7–1.1) | 1.0 (0.7–1.2) | 0.7 |
| Model 3 | 1 | 0.91 (0.72–1.17) | 1.01 (0.79–1.28) | 0.96 (0.75–1.24) | 0.92 |
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Red and processed meats
|
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| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | ||
|
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| Median | 11.8 | 24.12 | 38.2 | 69.6 | |
| Interquartile range (g/day) | 8.48–15.1 | 21.0–27.3 | 33.9–43.3 | 56.8–92.1 | |
| Diabetes incidence (n) | 171 | 123 | 136 | 119 | |
| Model 1 | 1 | 0.8 (0.4–1.4) | 0.8 (0.4–1.4) | 0.5 (0.3–1.0) | 0.9 |
| Model 2 | 1 | 1.0 (0.6–1.9) | 1.0 (0.6–1.9) | 0.8 (0.4–1.5) | 0.2 |
| Model 3 | 1 | 0.78 (0.61–0.99) | 0.98 (0.77–1.26) | 0.94 (0.72–1.24) | 0.83 |
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Egg
|
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| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | ||
|
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| Median | 1.78 | 7.6 | 15.2 | 26.7 | |
| Interquartile range (g/day) | 1.78–3.56 | 7.63–7.63 | 15.2–15.2 | 22.9–38.1 | |
| Diabetes incidence (n) | 154 | 155 | 118 | 122 | |
| Model 1 | 1 | 1.01 (0.8–1.2) | 0.7 (0.6–0.9) | 0.7 (0.5–0.9) | <0.001 |
| Model 2 | 1 | 1.0 (0.8–1.3) | 0.8 (0.6–1.0) | 0.9 (0.7–1.2) | 0.3 |
| Model 3 | 1 | 1.03 (0.89–1.30) | 0.89 (0.70–1.15) | 0.90 (0.70–1.16) | 0.28 |
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Fish
|
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| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | ||
|
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| Median | 0.4 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 14.4 | |
| Interquartile range (g/day) | 0–0.83 | 1.97–3.37 | 4.06–6.74 | 12.1–20.2 | |
| Diabetes incidence (n) | 136 | 146 | 124 | 143 | |
| Model 1 | 1 | 0.7 (0.4–1.1) | 0.9 (0.6–1.4) | 0.9 (0.5–1,3) | 0.5 |
| Model 2 | 1 | 0.7 (0.5–1.1) | 0.9 (0.6–1.4) | 0.9 (0.6–1.4) | <0.001 |
| Model 3 | 1 | 1.0 (0.79–1.27) | 1.17 (0.91–1.50) | 1.14 (0.89–1.45) | 0.01 |
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Poultry
|
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| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | ||
|
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| Median | 10.7 | 18.2 | 27.1 | 60.7 | |
| Interquartile range (g/day) | 3.17–10.7 | 12.1–18.2 | 24.3–30.3 | 36.4–72.8 | |
| Diabetes incidence (n) | 116 | 149 | 133 | 151 | |
| Model 1 | 1 | 1.3 (0.8–2.1) | 1.1 (0.7–1.8) | 1.4 (0.9 – 2.2) | 0.7 |
| Model 2 | 1 | 1.3 (0.8–2.0) | 1.0 (0.6–1.6) | 1.2 (0.8 – 1.9) | <0.001 |
| Model 3 | 1 | 1.23 (0.96–1.98) | 1.24 (0.96–1.61) | 1.33 (1.03–1.71) | 0.16 |
The median of each quartile was utilized as a continuous variable to estimate the overall trends of HRs across quartiles of total animal- and plant-based protein food groups in the Cox proportional hazard regression models. Model 1 was crude, without adjustment; Model 2 adjusted for age and sex; Model 3 adjusted for diabetes risk score, log physical activity, education, smoking, total energy, total fat, fiber, and log sugar-sweetened beverage intakes.