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. 2020 Nov 9;19(4):53–60. doi: 10.1109/MPRV.2020.3021321

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Figure 2. — Individual-level PBM simulations of the COVID-19 pandemic in 300 individuals, unless stated otherwise. (A) Comparison of PBM and SEIR models. SEIR fails to reveal early exposure and late recurrences. (B) Example offices and homes scenario of 90 individuals. An individual got infected at home by a quarantined household member due to being on the contact list of a positive tested patient. (C,D) PBM-based estimation, showing that different tracing mitigation strategies prolong the pandemic's duration (C) and that digital contact tracing and testing have only marginal influence on the total number of individuals contracting COVID-19 (D).