Table 1.

Error measures of the adjusted forecasting models.

Forecast horizon	Short term(7 days)			Medium term(14 days)			Long term(28 days)
Models	MASE	SMAPE	R2	MASE	SMAPE	R2	MASE	SMAPE	R2
Arima(2,1,2)a	0.8147	0.0666	0.3655	0.7893	0.0663	0.5368	1.3533	0.1553	−0.1938
Arima(2,0,3)(0,1,2)[7]a	0.6033	0.0508	0.7426	0.6122	0.0506	0.7061	1.4004	0.1640	−0.2233
Arima(2,0,4)(0,1,2)[14]a	0.5441	0.0453	0.7113	0.5179	0.0439	0.7593	1.2644	0.1467	0.0401
MLP(1,5,1)	1.2615	0.1073	−0.1680	1.4714	0.1114	−1.0805	1.6767	0.1609	−1.0199
MLP(7,5,1)	0.4250	0.0355	0.8442	0.8180	0.0655	0.5554	1.5633	0.1887	−0.3784
MLP(14,5,1)	0.3584	0.0302	0.8851	0.3181	0.0267	0.9098	1.0262	0.1182	0.2815
MLP(14,5,1)Arima(2,0,4)(0,1,2)[14]a	0.2904	0.0236	0.9192	1.4191	0.1101	−0.3109	0.5865	0.0710	0.7596

^aWith the drift technique.