Table 3:

Hierarchical Generalized Linear Models of Rearrest/Re-Referral Recidivism Risk (N = 6,771)

	Model 1			Model 2			Model 3			Model 4
	One-way random effects (AN OVA)			HGLM with individual-level fixed effects only			HGLM with both individual-level and site-level fixed effects			HGLM with both fixed and random effects
Fixed effect	Coefficient	SE	OR	Coefficient	SE	OR	Coefficient	SE	OR	Coefficient	SE	OR
Intercept	−0.91 ***	.20	0.4	−2.27***	.23	0.10	−2.27**	.23	.104	−2.15***	.17	0.12
Individual level
Male	—	—	—	0.13	.07	1.13	0.13	.07	1.13	0.12	.07	1.13
Race (Non-Latinx White)
Non-Latinx Black	—	—	—	0.52***	.07	1.68	0.52***	.07	1.68	0 51***	.07	1.67
Latinx	—	—	—	0.22*	.09	1.25	0.22*	.09	1.25	0.18*	.09	1.20
Violent charge	—	—	—	0.17*	.07	1.19	0.17*	.07	1.19	0.20**	.07	1.22
Property charge	—	—	—	0.36***	.07	1.43	0.36***	.07	1.43	0.36***	.07	1.44
Felony offense	—	—	—	−0.14*	.07	0.87	−0.14*	.07	0.87	−0.09	.07	0.92
Probation/parole	—	—	—	0.83***	.11	2.29	0.83***	.11	2.29	0.91***	.12	2.50
Violation
Level of supervision (less)
More	—	—	—	0.90 ***	.07	2.46	0.90***	.07	2.47	0.96 ***	.07	2.62
Other	—	—	—	−0.01	.18	1.00	−0.004	.18	1.00	−0.0002	.19	1.00
Need for SU services	—	—	—	0.54 ***	.06	1.72	0.54 ***	.07	1.72	0.07	.24	1.08
County level
Concentrated county	—	—	—	—	—	—	−0.02	.21	0.98	0.15	.15	1.17
Disadvantage
Random effect	Variance	SD	Chi-square	Variance	SD	Chi-square	Variance	SD	Chi-square	Variance	SD	Chi-square
Intercept	.75 ***	.86	689.31	.83 ***	.91	553.09	.83 ***	.91	551.6	.32	.57	—
Need for SU Services	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	.92 ***	.96	66.13

Note. Individuals nested within 20 sites. ANOVA = analysis of variance; HGLM = hierarchical generalized linear mixed effect model; OR = odds ratio.

^*p < .05.

^**p < .01.

^***p < .001.