Table 1.
Indicators | Estimated coverage (95% CI) |
Predicted coverage (95% CrI) |
AAPC from 2010–2030 (95% CrI) | Probability reach target (%)† | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year 2010 | Year 2015 | Year 2020 | Year 2030 | |||
Non-use of tobacco | 74·2 (73·4 to 75·0) | 77·5 (76·2 to 78·7) | 80·4 (78·9 to 82·0) | 85·5 (82·7 to 88·0) | 0·6 (0·4 to 0·7) | 100·0 |
Non-harmful use of alcohol | 80·1 (79·1 to 81·0) | 76·2 (74·1 to 78·1) | 71·8 (68·6 to 74·8) | 61·8 (53·9 to 68·9) | -0·9 (-1·3 to -0·5) | 0·0 |
Sufficient physical activity | 69·2 (68·0 to 70·4) | 71·2 (68·9 to 73·3) | 73·0 (69·9 to 75·7) | 76·6 (70·4 to 81·5) | 0·4 (0·0 to 0·6) | 9·2 |
Sufficient use of fruit and vegetables | 18·3 (17·2 to 19·5) | 42·9 (40·2 to 45·5) | 71·5 (68·7 to 74·2) | 96·5 (95·5 to 97·4) | 3·9 (3·8 to 4·0) | 100·0 |
Non-overweight | 88·0 (87·2 to 88·9) | 84·5 (82·7 to 86·1) | 80·0 (76·7 to 83·1) | 68·6 (59·1 to 76·9) | -1·0 (-1·5 to -0·5) | 0·4 |
Treatment of diabetes | 50·9 (45·5 to 56·3) | 38·8 (32·2 to 46·0) | 27·9 (16·7 to 42·0) | 12·6 (3·5 to 35·5) | -1·9 (-2·6 to -0·6) | 0·0 |
Treatment of hypertension | 25·4 (24·0 to 26·9) | 29·1 (26·3 to 32·1) | 32·9 (26·9 to 39·5) | 41·4 (28·1 to 56·2) | 0·8 (0·1 to 1·6) | 0·0 |
Composite NCD Prevention | 60·6 (59·8 to 61·4) | 67·5 (65·9 to 68·9) | 73·6 (70·8 to 76·2) | 83·4 (79·0 to 87·0) | 1·1 (0·9 to 1·3) | 93·2 |
Composite NCD Treatment | 56·1 (50·7 to 61·3) | 51·6 (44·5 to 58·6) | 47·2 (32·4 to 61·5) | 38·2 (14·1 to 68·6) | -0·9 (-2·2 to 0·8) | 0·2 |
Composite NCD Service Coverage | 58·8 (53·4 to 64·0) | 61·2 (54·0 to 67·8) | 63·6 (48·4 to 76·2) | 68·3 (35·9 to 88·8) | 0·5 (-1·3 to 1·7) | 18·1 |
Notes:
WHO's targets of at least 80% health service coverage for the entire population by 2030 for Universal Health Coverage; 95% CI = 95% Confidence Interval; 95% CrI = 95% Credible Interval; AAPC=Average annual percentage change; The observed coverages during 2010–2015 were calculated based on the original datasets; NCD: Non-communicable disease.