Table 3.
Comparison between voting percentages estimated by IOM-NN and the latest opinion polls
| State | Real percentages | Opinion polls | IOM-NN | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B | T | B | T | B | T | |
| Arizona | 49.4 | 49.1 | 48.0 | 45.8 | 50.2 | 48.3 |
| Florida | 47.9 | 51.2 | 48.7 | 46.0 | 48.0 | 51.1 |
| Georgia | 49.5 | 49.2 | 47.6 | 47.4 | 52.7 | 46.0 |
| Michigan | 50.6 | 47.8 | 49.9 | 44.4 | 55.4 | 43.0 |
| Minnesota | 52.4 | 45.3 | 51.6 | 41.8 | 55.1 | 42.6 |
| Nevada | 50.1 | 47.7 | 49.4 | 44.4 | 49.8 | 48.0 |
| New Hampshire | 52.7 | 45.4 | 53.4 | 42.4 | 50.9 | 47.3 |
| North Carolina | 48.6 | 49.9 | 47.8 | 47.5 | 56.6 | 41.9 |
| Pennsylvania | 50.0 | 48.8 | 49.4 | 45.7 | 55.7 | 43.1 |
| Texas | 46.5 | 52.1 | 47.5 | 48.8 | 46.1 | 52.5 |
| Wisconsin | 49.4 | 48.8 | 52.0 | 42.8 | 56.3 | 41.9 |
| Correctly classified | – | 9/11 | 10/11 | |||
| Tweets | – | – | 670,451 | |||
| Users | – | 11,000 | 57,116 | |||
| Avg. Acc | – | 0.82 | 0.91 | |||