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. 2021 Aug 9;215(8):359–365. doi: 10.5694/mja2.51216
Recalls Screen‐detected cancers Interval cancers
Characteristic All screens Number Proportion (95% CI) Number

CDR (95% CI)

(per 10 000 screens)

Number

ICR (95% CI)

(per 10 000 women‐years)

All women 1 026 137 38 253 3.73% (3.69–3.76%) 7024 68 (67–70) 1866 9.7 (9.2–10.1)
Age (years)
40–49 142 700 8930 6.26% (6.13–6.38%) 650 46 (42–49) 284 10.5 (9.3–11.7)
50–59 424 213 16 355 3.86% (3.80–3.91%) 2368 56 (54–58) 733 9.1 (8.5–9.8)
60–69 356 073 9660 2.71% (2.66–2.77%) 2768 78 (75–81) 627 9.5 (8.8–10.2)
70 or more 103 151 3308 3.21% (3.10–3.31%) 1238 120 (113–127) 222 11.7 (10.3–13.4)
Socio‐economic status (IRSD), quintile
1 (most disadvantaged) 98 683 3540 3.59% (3.47–3.70%) 691 70 (65–75) 147 7.9 (6.7–9.3)
2 231 500 8586 3.71% (3.63–3.79%) 1679 73 (69–76) 427 9.8 (8.9–10.8)
3 199 763 7590 3.80% (3.72–3.88%) 1397 70 (66–74) 340 9.0 (8.2–10.1)
4 160 137 6108 3.81% (3.72–3.91%) 1067 67 (63–71) 283 9.4 (8.4–10.6)
5 (least disadvantaged) 331 041 12 228 3.69% (3.63–3.76%) 2156 65 (62–68) 664 10.7 (9.9–11.5)
Time since previous screen (months)
First screen 148 499 13 627 9.18% (9.03–9.32%) 1280 86 (81–91) 254 8.8 (7.8–9.9)
Less than 15 92 484 2426 2.61% (2.52–2.73%) 674 73 (67–78)* 86 7.8 (6.3–9.6)
15 to less than 27 591 503 15 248 2.58% (2.54–2.62%) 3355 57 (55–59) 1116 9.7 (9.1–10.3)
27 or more 193 651 6952 3.59% (3.51–3.67%) 1715 89 (84–93) 410 10.9 (9.9–12.0)
Personal history of breast cancer
Yes 39 086 1223 3.13% (2.96–3.30%) 435 111 (101–122)
No 987 049 37 030 3.75% (3.71–3.79%) 6589 67 (65–68)
Personal history of ovarian cancer
Yes 5319 141 2.65% (2.22–3.08%) 21 39 (23–56) 3 4.3 (1.4–13.3)
No 1 020 811 38 112 3.73% (3.70–3.77%) 7003 69 (67–70) 1863 9.7 (9.3–10.2)
First degree family history of breast cancer
Yes 211 742 8090 3.82% (3.74–3.90%) 1744 82 (79–86) 378 10.9 (9.9–12.1)
No 814 395 30 163 3.70% (3.66–3.74%) 5280 65 (63–67) 1488 9.4 (8.9–9.9)
Breast density
Yes 235 476 3784 3.21% (3.11–3.31%) 770 65 (61–70) 776 17.3 (16.1–18.6)
No 703 213 9347 2.30% (2.25–2.34%) 2194 53 (52–56) 958 7.1 (6.7–7.6)
Breast surgery/biopsy for benign conditions
Yes 182 562 7375 4.04% (3.95–4.13%) 1608 88 (84–92) 491 14.6 (13.3–16.0)
No 843 575 30 878 3.66% (3.62–3.70%) 5416 64 (62–66) 1375 8.6 (8.2–9.1)
Hormone replacement therapy (past 6 months)
Yes 121 189 4924 4.06% (3.95–4.17%) 973 80 (75–85) 335 14.6 (13.1–16.2)
No 904 850 33 325 3.68% (3.64–3.72%) 6049 67 (65–69) 1531 9.0 (8.6–9.5)
Self‐reported breast symptoms
Yes 10 455 1313 12.6% (11.9–13.2%) 497 475 (435–516) 72 36.7 (29.1–46.2)
No 1 015 682 36 940 3.64% (3.60–3.67%) 6527 64 (63–66) 1794 9.4 (9.0–9.8)

CI = confidence interval; IRSD = Index of Relative Socio‐economic Disadvantage.

*

CDR is slightly elevated because women deemed to be at high risk were invited for annual screening.

ICR by personal history of breast cancer could not be estimated because recurrent and second breast cancers are not routinely reported to cancer registries.

The numbers of screen‐detected and interval cancers in women with personal histories of ovarian cancer were too low for analysis of the influence of this risk factor.