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. 2021 Oct 15;29(2):505–520. doi: 10.1111/1744-7917.12940

Table 1.

Temporal relationships between field survey and trajectory analysis of S. frugiperda found in Korea and Japan in 2019

Locations Date of caterpillars found Instar Direct degree‐day estimation Temporal range for trajectory analysis
Jeju Island 13 June 1–3 23–27 May 19–29 May §
Gochang, Jeonbuk 21 June 3–4 2–5 June 31 May–7 June
Minamikyushu, Kagoshima 27 June 5–6 6–11 June 27 May–13 June
Bungoohno, Ooita 12 July 5–6 20–25 June 7–27 June
Asagiri, Kumamoto 11 July 5–6 17–23 June 7–25 June
Miyakonojo, Miyazaki 12 July 5–6 16–21 June 6–23 June
Nakatane, Kagoshima 3 July 5–6 14–19 June 4–21 June
Onna, Okinawa 11 July 5–6 27–30 June 17 June–1 July

The latest day of the direct degree‐day estimation was calculated by assuming the oldest larva just molted from its previous instar, and the earliest day by assuming the oldest larva would molt into the next instar soon.

The temporal range for trajectory analysis (i.e. probable arrival date) is the period of degree‐day estimation shifting 2 d earlier and 2 d later. In the Japanese cases, only old caterpillars were found in fields, but no young caterpillars. Therefore, it was suspected that some caterpillars already turned into the pupa stage and hid in the soil. As adults can survive at least approximately 10 d, the earliest degree‐day estimation was shifted by 10 d earlier as the first day for trajectory analysis.

§

No trajectories were found from Guangdong, Guangxi, Hainan and Yunnan Provinces during 22–29 May for this site, and trajectories were calculated for the other three previous days 19–21 May.

No valid trajectories were found during 10–27 June for this site, and trajectories were calculated for during 7–9 June.