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. 2021 Sep 27;40(28):6260–6276. doi: 10.1002/sim.9181

TABLE 5.

Summary of parameter estimates from the household transmission models

Season Virus Case definition α (95% CI) β (95% CI) γ (95% CI)
2013‐2014 A (H1) PCR confirmed 0.82 (0.48, 1.29) 3.3 (0.04, 139) 33 (0.7, 845)
2013‐2014 A (H3) PCR confirmed 0.80 (0.33, 1.58) 0.16 (0.01, 39) 59 (0.1, 886)
2014‐2015 A (H1) PCR confirmed 0.73 (0.49, 1.03) 0.23 (0.08, 0.56) 0.65 (0.29, 1.29)
2013‐2014 B PCR confirmed 0.73 (0.42, 1.16) 0.06 (0.01, 0.22) 0.24 (0.06, 0.63)
2014‐2015 B PCR confirmed 0.60 (0.13, 1.63) 0.20 (0.01, 78) 46.9 (0.09, 878))
2013‐2014 A (H1) ARI episode 0.72 (0.43, 1.11) 11.0 (0.3, 282) 40.5 (1.4, 845)
2013‐2014 A (H3) ARI episode 0.80 (0.33, 1.58) 0.16 (0.01, 41) 59.3 (0.1, 886)
2014‐2015 A (H1) ARI episode 0.60 (0.41, 0.83) 0.29 (0.14, 0.54) 0.44 (0.25, 0.74)
2013‐2014 B ARI episode 0.70 (0.41, 1.11) 0.09 (0.01, 0.29) 0.30 (0.09, 0.71)
2014‐2015 B ARI episode 0.47 (0.10, 1.29) 4.9 (0.03, 386) 24.3 (0.2, 828)