Table 2.
Description of the parameter values for the beginning of the COVID-19 outbreak in Italy (Days 1–22). Parameters marked by * are obtained through methods in Sect. 4.1. Parameter
| Parameter Definition | Italy | Units | Reference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SilS mean asymptomatic transmission rate | 0.498 | Days | – | |
| SymS mean asymptomatic transmission rate | 0.729 | Days | – | |
| SymS mean symptomatic transmission rate | 0.0209 | Days | – | |
| SilS latent period | 3.2 | Days | Lauer et al. (2020) | |
| SymS latent period | 3.2 | Days | Lauer et al. (2020) | |
| SilS duration of asymptomatic stage | 18.8 | Days | – | |
| SymS duration of asymptomatic stage | 2.3 | Days | Bi et al. (2020) | |
| Disease-induced death rate | 0.0149 | Days | – | |
| Recovery rate | 0.0217 | Days | – | |
| N | Total population size | 60000000 | Individuals | Giordano et al. (2020) |
| SilS initial fraction in population | 0.2018 | - | – |