Table 2.
(A) Without comorbidities and demographic data | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
AUC | Accuracy | Sensitivity | Specificity | Brier Score | |
Day −3 | 0.75 ± 0.01 | 65.05 ± 1.92% | 0.75 ± 0.03 | 0.61 ± 0.03 | 0.21 ± 0.01 |
Day −2 | 0.82 ± 0.01 | 73.94 ± 1.22% | 0.57 ± 0.05 | 0.87 ± 0.01 | 0.17 ± 0.01 |
Day −1 | 0.75 ± 0.01 | 69.47 ± 0.33% | 0.64 ± 0.02 | 0.78 ± 0.03 | 0.20 ± 0.01 |
Day 0 | 0.79 ± 0.01 | 66.61 ± 0.03% | 0.64 ± 0.03 | 0.81 ± 0.03 | 0.19 ± 0.01 |
All time points | 0.956 ± 0.005 | 87.98 ± 1.75% | 0.88 ± 0.05 | 0.87 ± 0.05 | 0.09 ± 0.01 |
(B) With comorbidities and demographic data | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Day −3 | 0.77 ± 0.01 | 69.10 ± 1.24% | 0.68 ± 0.03 | 0.70 ± 0.02 | 0.20 ± 0.01 |
Day −2 | 0.84 ± 0.01 | 76.46 ± 0.43% | 0.68 ± 0.03 | 0.82 ± 0.03 | 0.17 ± 0.01 |
Day −1 | 0.80 ± 0.01 | 70.53 ± 1.29% | 0.65 ± 0.04 | 0.79 ± 0.04 | 0.19 ± 0.01 |
Day 0 | 0.83 ± 0.01 | 65.45 ± 1.05% | 0.63 ± 0.02 | 0.82 ± 0.01 | 0.19 ± 0.01 |
All time points | 0.965 ± 0.003 | 89.57 ± 1.64% | 0.95 ± 0.03 | 0.84 ± 0.05 | 0.08 ± 0.01 |
(C) Stony Brook Hospital data prediction performance | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
All time points | 0.83 ± 0.03 | 78.93 ± 2.74% | 0.73 ± 0.09 | 0.80 ± 0.05 | 0.16 ± 0.01 |
All time points + comorbidities and demographics | 0.86 ± 0.01 | 83.66 ± 2.53% | 0.66 ± 0.10 | 0.89 ± 0.03 | 0.12 ± 0.01 |