Table 3.
Observed visits compared to predicted visits for November 2021 based on trends pre-Covid and trends pre-recovery policy, national level
| Indicator | Observed | Predicted based on pre-COVID-19 trends* | Predicted based on pre-policy trends† | Observed predicted pre-COVID-19 | Observed predicted pre-policy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consultations for sick children |
4664 |
3081 |
9767 |
151% |
48% |
| Childhood vaccinations |
68 888 |
46 147 |
54 689 |
149% |
126% |
| Contraceptive use visits |
40 056 |
27 603 |
62 283 |
145% |
64% |
| Antenatal care visits |
229 643 |
246 061 |
233 402 |
93% |
98% |
| Deliveries (includes caesarean sections) |
29 202 |
31 525 |
19 660 |
93% |
149% |
| Caesarean sections |
14 290 |
12 565 |
15 561 |
114% |
92% |
| Cervical cancer screening |
250 456 |
181 242 |
386 964 |
138% |
65% |
| Breast cancer screening |
98 734 |
95 497 |
131 035 |
103% |
75% |
| Diabetes visits |
1 348 288 |
1 482 569 |
1 112 562 |
91% |
121% |
| Hypertension visits |
1 450 631 |
972 365 |
1 548 339 |
149% |
94% |
| Patients with controlled diabetes (% of observed visits) |
34.7 |
38.8 |
28.5 |
90% |
122% |
| Patients with controlled hypertension (% of observed visits) | 62.4 | 97.6 | 49.1 | 64% | 127% |
*National total for November 2021 based on Poisson regression models of observed data January 2019 – March 2020 adjusting for months elapsed and seasonality.
†National total for November 2021 based on Poisson regression models from Table 2, setting Recovery policy covariate and months into recovery covariate to equal 0 (counterfactual scenario of no recovery policy).