Table 2.

Reelection probabilities in the P equilibrium

Case #	Conformism W	Proba. if $d=AG(\widehat{\mu })$	Proba. if $d=BG({\widehat{\mu }}^{\mathit{SB}})$	Impact on ${(IC)}^{P}G(\widehat{\mu })-G({\widehat{\mu }}^{\mathit{SB}})$
Case P1	$W\ge W^1(B)$	1	1	0
Case P2	$W^1(B)>W\ge W^{1P}$	1	${\mu }^b+\frac{p}{1-p}W$	$1-{\mu }^b-\frac{p}{1-p}W$
Case P3	$W^{1P}>W\ge 0$	$\mu +\frac{p}{1-p}W$	${\mu }^b+\frac{p}{1-p}W$	$\mu -{\mu }^b$