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. 2022 Apr 5;116(1):15–39. doi: 10.1093/ajcn/nqac084

TABLE 2.

Summary of observational studies examining the association between high SSB consumption on metabolic parameters and chronic diseases1

Reference, year Subjects Study duration Dietary comparator Main findings
Berkey et al., 2004 (112) 11,755 adolescents aged 9–14 y from the US Growing Up Today study (43.1% boys) 3 y Consumption of SSBs Before adjustment for total energy intake, consumption of SSBs was associated with increase in BMI in the corresponding year (boys: +0.03 kg/m2 per daily serving, P = 0.04; girls: +0.02 kg/m2, P = 0.096), compared with nondrinkers. Children who increased consumption by ≥2 servings/d from the prior year gained weight [boys: +0.14 kg (P = 0.01); girls: +0.10 kg (P = 0.046)], compared with those with unchanged intakes
After adjustment for total energy intake, the effects were not significant
de Koning et al, 2012 (81) 42,883 males aged 40–75 y in the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study 22 y SSB consumption (never vs. 2/mo vs. 1–3/wk vs. 3.7/wk to 9/d) Higher SSB consumption was associated with increased risks of CHD (RR for never vs. 3.7/wk to 9/d: 1.18; 95%CI, 1.06–1.31; Ptrend < 0.01 after adjustment for confounders)
An increase in every serving of SSB per day was also associated with 12.7 (95% CI, 4.2–21.2) mg/dL higher TG (P = 0.01), 1.87 (95% CI, 1.03–2.70) mg/dL lower HDL (P < 0.01), 0.12 (95% CI, 0.02–0.23) mg/L higher CRP (P = 0.02), 0.16 (95% CI, 0.03–1.65) pg/mL higher IL-6 (P = 0.02), and 796 (95% CI, 149–1442) pg/mL lower leptin (P = 0.02)
den Biggelaar et al., 2020 (149) 2240 middle-aged subjects (mean ± SD age, 59.5 ± 8.1 y; 50.4% male) NA (cross-sectional study) Non-consumers vs. moderate or daily SSB consumers No statistically significant difference in β-cell glucose sensitivity and potentiation factor, C-peptidogenic index, overall insulin secretion, and Matsuda index between nonconsumers vs. moderate or daily SSB consumers
Dhingra et al., 2007 (73) Cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses of the Framingham Heart Study Cohort (6039 person- observations, 3470 in women; mean age 52.9 y) 3 y Consumption of sugar-sweetened soft drinks Cross-sectionally, consumption of ≥1 serving/d of sugar-sweetened soft drink was associated with increased prevalence of MetSyn (OR, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.28–2.56), compared to intake of <1 serving/wk
Longitudinally, consumption of ≥1 serving/d was associated with increased incidence of MetSyn (OR, 1.62; 95% CI, 0.96–2.75), compared with infrequent drinkers (<1 serving/wk)
Duffey et al., 2010 (70) 2774 adults (mean ± SD age, 25.0 ± 3.6 y; females, 53.5% ± 0.8%) from the CARDIA study 20 y Consumption of SSBs across quartiles Higher SSB consumption was associated with increased risks of high WC (adjusted RR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.04–1.14; Ptrend < 0.001), high LDL cholesterol (adjusted RR, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.02–1.35; Ptrend = 0.018), high TG (adjusted RR, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.01–1.13; Ptrend = 0.033), and hypertension (adjusted RR, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.01–1.12; Ptrend = 0.023) across quartiles
Eny et al., 2020 (90) 1778 preschool children aged 3–6 y (53.4% boys) 9 y Consumption of sugar-containing beverage An increase in every serving of sugar-containing beverage per day was associated with 0.02 (95% CI, 0.01–0.03) mmol/L lower HDL (P = 0.01) and 1.05 (95% CI, 1.01–1.10) mmol/L higher TG (P = 0.03) after adjustment for confounders
No statistically significant association was observed between sugar-containing beverage consumption and blood glucose or systolic blood pressure
Fagherazzi et al., 2013 (61) 66,118 females (mean ± SD age, 52.6 ± 6.6 y) from the E3N cohort 14 y SSB consumption (nonconsumer vs. <86 vs. 86–164 vs. 165–359 vs. >359 mL/wk) Higher SSB consumption was associated with increased risks of T2DM (HR for nonconsumer vs. >359 mL/wk: 1.30; 95% CI, 1.02–1.66; Ptrend = 0.021) after adjustment for confounders
Fung et al., 2009 (82) 88,520 females from the Nurses’ Health Study aged 34–59 y 24 y SSB consumption in servings (<1/mo vs. 1–4/mo vs. 2–6/wk vs. 1 to <2/d vs. ≥2/d) Higher consumption of SSBs was associated with increased risks of CHD (RR for <1/mo vs. ≥2/d: 1.35; 95% CI, 1.07–1.69; Ptrend < 0.001)
Funtikova et al., 2015 (68) 2181 Spanish males and females aged 25–74 y 9 y Changes in soft drink consumption (maintenance of no consumption vs. decrease in consumption vs. increase in consumption vs. maintained consumption) 100-kcal increase in soft drink consumption was associated with 1.1-cm increase in WC (P = 0.018), and higher soft drink consumption was associated increased odds of 10-year incidence of abdominal obesity (OR for no consumption vs. ≥200 ml/d, 1.77; 95% CI, 1.07–2.93)
Garduño-Alanís et al., 2020 (62) 5205 Russian adults aged 45–69 y (47% males) from the Health, Alcohol and Psychosocial factors in Eastern Europe cohort 3 y Fruit juice or SSB consumers vs. nonconsumers No statistically significant association between fruit juice consumption and unit change in BMI (drinkers vs. nondrinkers; OR, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.81–1.05; P = 0.203)SSB consumers had 26% (95% CI, 9%–45%) higher odds of having a 1-kg/m2 increase in their BMI in 3 years compared with nondrinkers
Hirahatake et al., 2019 (76) 4719 Black and White males and females aged 18–30 y at baseline from the CARDIA study (45.3% males) 30 y SSB consumption in servings (none to ≤1/wk vs. 1 to ≤4/wk vs. 4 to ≤7/wk vs. 1–2/d vs. ≥2/d) An increase in every serving/d of SSB was associated with a 6% (95% CI, 1%–10%) increase in the risk of T2DM (P = 0.009)
Harrington et al., 2020 (74) 1075 boys and girls aged 8–11 y (66.1% boys) NA (cross-sectional analysis) SSB consumption Compared with normal-weight children, children with overweight or obesity had significantly higher intake of SSBs per day (383 vs. 315 mL). Also, children who consumed >200 mL per day of SSBs had a higher risk of overweight or obesity compared with those consuming <200 mL per day (OR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.0–3.5)
Haslam et al., 2020 (88) The FOS (n = 3146; mean ± SD age, 54.8 ± 9.8 y; 46.9% males) and Generation Three cohorts (n = 3584; mean ± SD age, 40.3 ± 8.8 y; 45.7% males) 12.5 y SSB consumption from none or <1 serving per month to ≥6 servings/d Compared with low consumption (<1 serving/mo), regular consumption (>1 serving/d) of SSBs was associated with a greater mean decrease in HDL cholesterol (β ± standard error, −1.6 ± 0.4 mg/dl; Ptrend < 0.0001) and increase in TG concentrations (β ± standard error: 4.4 ± 2.2 mg/dl; Ptrend = 0.003)
Imamura et al., 2019 (63) 27,662 adults from the EPIC-InterAct case-cohort study [mean ± SD age, 52.0 ± 9.0 y (38% males) and 56 ± 7.7 y (50% males) for randomly selected subcohort and ascertained cases of T2DM, respectively] 15 y SSB consumption (per 250 g/d increase and 250 g/d vs. 0 g/d) For every 250 g/d increase in SSB consumption, the risk of T2DM incidence increases by 18% (95% CI, 8%–28%)Comparing with nonconsumers (i.e., 0 g/d), those who consumed 250 g/d of SSB had a 7.4/10,000 person-years increase in T2DM rates
Janzi et al., 2020 (71) 25,877 adults aged 45–74 y (mean age, 57.8 y; 37.6% males) from the Malmö Diet and Cancer Study 19.5 y Consumption of total added sugar and sugar-sweetened foods and beverages across categories Added sugar intake > 20% daily energy intake was associated with increased risks of coronary events (HR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.09–1.78) compared to the lowest intake category (<5% daily energy intake), and of stroke (HR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.03–1.66), compared to 7.5%–10% daily energy intake
Lin et al., 2020 (89) 6856 adults from the NHANES (50.5% males) 3 y SSB consumption [none vs. 1–350 (light) vs. 351–699 (medium) vs. ≥ 700 ml/d (heavy)] Compared with nonconsumers, heavy SSB consumers had a 0.26 mg/l higher CRP level after adjusting for BMI. When taking into consideration the modifying effect of BMI, medium and heavy drinkers who were obese had 0.58 (P = 0.014) and 0.50 mg/l (P = 0.013) higher CRP levels than non-SSB drinkers, respectively
Ma et al., 2015 (64) 2634 participants of the Framingham Heart Study (47.5% males) NA (cross-sectional analysis) SSB consumption in servings (0–1/mo vs. 1/mo to <1/wk vs. 1/wk to <1/d vs. ≥1/d) Higher SSB consumption was associated with increased odds of NAFLD (OR for 0–1/mo vs. ≥ 1/d, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.03–2.36; Ptrend = 0.02) after adjustment for age, sex, dietary confounders, and smoking. The statistical significance was lost after additional adjustment for VAT
Malik et al., 2019 (84) 37,716 men from the Health Professional's Follow-up Study and 80,647 women from the Nurses’ Health Study Health Professional's Follow-Up Study (28 y)Nurses’ Health Study (34 y) SSB consumption (number of times of consuming a standard portion of foods and beverages; <1/mo vs. 1–4/mo vs. 2–6/wk vs. 1 to <2/d vs. ≥2/d) Across categories, high SSB consumption was associated with higher risks of total mortality in a dose-response relationship [HRs of 1.00 (reference), 1.01 (95% CI, 0.98–1.04), 1.06 (95% CI, 1.03–1.09), 1.14 (95% CI, 1.09–1.19), and 1.21 (95% CI, 1.13–1.28) for consumption frequencies of <1/mo, 1–4/mo, 2–6/wk, 1 to <2/d and ≥2/d, respectively; P < 0.0001]
High SSB consumption was also associated with increased risks of CVD mortality across categories [HRs of 1.00 (reference), 1.06 (95% CI, 1.00–1.12), 1.10 (95% CI, 1.04–1.17), 1.19 (95% CI, 1.08–1.31), 1.31 (95% CI, 1.15–1.50) for consumption frequencies of <1/mo, 1–4/mo, 2–6/wk, 1 to <2/d and ≥2/d, respectively; P < 0.0001]
O'Conner et al., 2018 (104) 9678 British adults (mean ± SD age, 47.8 ± 7.4 y; 46.6% males) NA (cross-sectional analysis) Sugar intake from liquid foods and solid foods (Q1: 0.5–8.0 vs. Q2: 8.0–10.4 vs. Q3: 10.4–12.6 vs. Q4: 12.6–15.5 vs. Q5: 15.5–46.4; % daily energy intake) After correction for multiple testing (α = 0.003), sugars from liquid foods were positively associated with ln HOMA-IR (Q5 vs. Q1; β-coefficient, 0.11; 95% CI, 0.07–0.15; Ptrend < 0.001), ln-CRP (β-coefficient, 0.21; 95% CI, 0.13–0.28; Ptrend < 0.001), and metabolic risk z-score (β-coefficient, 0.18; 95% CI, 0.13–0.24; Ptrend < 0.001). No association was found for sugars from solid foods
Odegaard et al., 2010 (72) 43,580 Chinese Singaporeans (mean ± SD age, 54.8 ± 7.5 y; 42.9% males) 5 y Consumption of soft drinks (almost never vs. 1–3 portions/mo vs. 1 portion/wk vs. 2 to ≥3 portions/wk) Consumption of ≥2 soft drinks/wk was associated with an increased risk of T2DM (RR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.25–1.62), compared to the lowest intake category
Palmer et al., 2008 (113) 59,000 African American females aged 21–69 y at baseline 6 y Consumption of SSBs (<1 drink/mo vs. 1–7 drinks/mo vs. 2–6 drinks/wk vs. 1 drink/d vs. ≥2 drinks/d) Increase in consumption was associated with increased risks of T2DM for sugar-sweetened soft drinks (Ptrend = 0.002) and sugar-sweetened fruit drinks (Ptrend = 0.001). Consuming ≥2 drinks/d was associated with increased risks of type 2 diabetes (incidence rate ratio, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.06–1.45) for soft drinks and fruit drinks (incidence rate ratio, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.13–1.52), compared with the lowest consumption category (<1 drink/mo)
Pacheco et al., 2022 (85) 100,314 women aged 22–104 y at baseline (median age, 53 y) from the California Teachers Study 20 y SSB or its subtypes consumption (rare or never vs. >rare or never to <1 serving/wk vs. ≥ 1 to ≤6 servings/wk vs. ≥7 servings/wk) For total SSBs, consumption of ≥7 servings/wk was not associated with total, CVD, or cancer mortality compared with rare or never consuming. For caloric soft drinks, a significant association was found between consumption frequency of ≥7 servings/wk and all-cause mortality (HR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.10–1.46; Ptrend = 0.02) and cancer mortality (HR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.08–1.63; Ptrend = 0.08), compared with rare or never consumption
Romaguera et al., 2013 (65) 27,058 subjects [11,684 incident cases (unknown male:female ratio) and 15,374 controls (37.8% males)] from the EPIC-InterAct study 16 y Fruit juice and SSB consumption in glass (<1/mo vs. 1–4/mo vs. >1–6/wk vs. ≥1/d) Higher SSB consumption was associated with higher risks of T2DM (HR for <1/mo vs. ≥1/d, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.02–1.63; Ptrend = 0.013) after adjustment for confounders
No statistically significant association between the risk of T2DM and fruit juice intake was observed (HR for <1/mo vs. ≥1/d, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.90–1.25; Ptrend = 0.21) after adjustment for confounders
Schulze et al., 2004 (66) 91,249 females from the Nurses’ Health Study II aged 24–44 y at baseline 8 y SSB consumption at baseline (<1/mo vs. 1–4/mo vs. 2–6/wk vs. ≥1/d) and change in SSB consumption between 1991–1995 (consistent ≤1/wk vs. consistent ≥1/d vs. changed from ≤1/wk to ≥1/d vs. changed from ≥1/d to ≤1/wk vs. other) Weight gain over 4 years was higher in females who increased their consumption from ≤1/wk to ≥1/d (+4.69 kg for 1991 to 1995 and 4.20 kg for 1995 to 1999) compared with those who decreased their consumption (+1.34 and 0.15 kg for the 2 periods, respectively)Higher SSB consumption was dose-dependently associated with higher risks of T2DM (RR for <1/mo vs. ≥1/d, 1.83; 95% CI, 1.42–2.36, Ptrend < 0.001) after adjustment for confounders
Stern et al., 2017 (69) 11,218 females from the Mexican Teachers’ Cohort (mean ± SD age, 43.3 ± 5.2 y) 2 y Changes in consumption of sugar-sweetened soda (servings/wk): decreased (<−1) vs. no change (−1 to +1) vs. increased (>+1) vs. increase in 1 serving/d Compared with no change, decrease in consumption by >1 serving/week was associated with less weight gain (−0.4 kg; 95% CI, −0.6 to −0.2), and increase in consumption by >1 serving/wk was associated with weight gain of 0.3 kg (95% CI, 0.2–0.5). Increase in 1 serving/d was associated with weight gain of 1.0 kg (95% CI, 0.7–1.2; P < 0.001)
For change in WC, compared with no change, decrease in consumption by >1 serving/wk was associated with reduction in WC by 0.5 cm (95% CI, 0.9 to −0.1), increase in consumption by >1 serving/wk was associated with increase in WC by 0.3 cm (95% CI, 0.1–0.6). Increase in 1 serving/d was associated with change in WC by +0.9 cm (95% CI, 0.5–1.4)
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CARDIA, Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults; CHD, coronary heart disease; CRP, C-reactive protein; CVD, cardiovascular disease; E3N, The French E3N Prospective Cohort Study; EPIC, European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition; FOS, Framingham Offspring Study; MetSyn, metabolic syndrome; NA, not applicable; NAFLD, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease; Q, quintile; SSB, sugar-sweetened beverage; T2DM, type 2 diabetes mellitus; TG, triglyceride; VAT, visceral adipose tissue; WC, waist circumference.