Table 2.
Variable | Binary Logit Model | Mixed Logit Model | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Coefficient Estimate | p-Value | Coefficient Estimate (Standard Deviation) | p-Value | |
Intercept | −7.453 | 0.0000 | −7.620 | <0.001 |
Crash and environment characteristics | ||||
Midnight (00–06) | 0.742 | <0.001 | 0.774 | <0.001 |
Rural | 0.139 | 0.0191 | 0.130 | 0.0395 |
Speed limit > 50 km/h | 0.479 | <0.001 | 0.514 | <0.001 |
Horizontal or vertical curve | 0.554 | <0.001 | 0.591 | <0.001 |
Lane separation-markings | 0.251 | <0.001 | 0.266 | <0.001 |
Lane separation-traffic Island | 0.473 | <0.001 | 0.489 | <0.001 |
Pavement surface-dry | 0.188 | 0.0249 | 0.183 | 0.0368 |
Crash type | ||||
Run off | 1.630 | <0.001 | 1.698 | <0.001 |
Hit tree/pole | 2.389 | <0.001 | 2.508 | <0.001 |
Hit traffic device | 2.156 | <0.001 | 1.897 (1.106) |
<0.001 (0.0392) |
Hit island/barrier | 1.684 | <0.001 | 1.759 | <0.001 |
Motorcyclist characteristics | ||||
Male | 0.607 | <0.001 | 0.624 | <0.001 |
Young (<25 years old) | 0.310 | <0.001 | 0.321 | <0.001 |
Aged (55 years old+) | 0.877 | <0.001 | 0.623 (0.902) |
<0.001 (<0.001) |
Without wearing a helmet | 1.534 | <0.001 | 1.719 | <0.001 |
Without a valid driving license | 0.445 | <0.001 | 0.487 | <0.001 |
Distracted | 0.214 | <0.001 | 0.220 | <0.001 |
Speed violation | 0.868 | <0.001 | 0.900 | <0.001 |
LHM (250 cc+) | 0.732 | <0.001 | 0.019 (1.554) |
0.9695 (n.s.) (0.0021) |
Motorcyclist’s BAC (+<0.3%) | 1.827 | <0.001 | 1.105 (1.696) |
0.0148 (<0.001) |
Motorcyclist’s BAC (≥0.3%) | 0.828 | <0.001 | 0.288 (1.228) |
0.2640 (n.s.) (<0.001) |
Motorcyclist’s BAC unknown | 3.152 | <0.001 | 3.252 | 0.0392 |
Model statistics | ||||
LL0 | −8472.6 | −8472.6 | ||
LL | −6052.7 | −6041.1 | ||
R2 | 0.286 | 0.287 | ||
AIC | 12,151 | 12,138 |
Note: n.s.: not significant at the 95% confidence interval.