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. 2022 Jul 18;23(14):7906. doi: 10.3390/ijms23147906

Figure 3.

Figure 3

Figure 3

ME/CFS predictive modeling. ME/CFS: myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome; sr-IBS: self-reported physician diagnosed irritable bowel syndrome; BF: BayesFactor; AUC: area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. To differentiate ME/CFS cases from healthy controls, we employed five machine learning algorithms: least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso), adaptive Lasso (AdaLasso), Random Forests (RF), XGBoost, and Bayesian Model Averaging (Model average). For each algorithm, three sets of predictors were considered: (1) all metabolites, (2) metabolites with BayesFactor > 1, and (3) metabolites with BayesFactor > 3. The predictive models were first trained in the 80% randomly selected training set using 10-fold cross-validation, and the remaining 20% of the study population was used as the independent test set to validate model performance. (A) Overall population. (B) Women only. (C) No GI complaints.