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. 2022 Jul 14;10(7):1310. doi: 10.3390/healthcare10071310

Table 6.

The final model validation results on the COVID-19 daily recovered cases.

n-Day Forward
Chaining
Block Training Period Forecasted Period RMSE MAE MAPE (%) U1
7-day interval 1 1 Dec 21–2 Apr 22 3–9 Apr 22 1999.88 1814.99 7.41 0.03
2 1 Dec 21–9 Apr 22 10–16 Apr 22 748.85 663.08 2.57 0.01
3 1 Dec 21–16 Apr 22 17–23 Apr 22 2523.33 1942.32 8.55 0.05
4 1 Dec 21–23 Apr 22 24–30 Apr 22 4665.59 4235.41 22.55 0.10
Average 2484.41 2163.95 10.27 0.05
14-day interval 1 1 Dec 21–2 Apr 22 3–16 Apr 22 2484.92 2296.17 9.15 0.04
2 1 Dec 21–16 Apr 22 17–30 Apr 22 5238.33 4264.90 21.64 0.11
Average 3861.63 3280.54 15.40 0.08
28-day interval 1 1 Dec 21–2 Apr 22 3–30 Apr 22 7554.66 6023.39 28.41 0.14