Table 6.
n-Day Forward Chaining |
Block | Training Period | Forecasted Period | RMSE | MAE | MAPE (%) | U1 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7-day interval | 1 | 1 Dec 21–2 Apr 22 | 3–9 Apr 22 | 1999.88 | 1814.99 | 7.41 | 0.03 |
2 | 1 Dec 21–9 Apr 22 | 10–16 Apr 22 | 748.85 | 663.08 | 2.57 | 0.01 | |
3 | 1 Dec 21–16 Apr 22 | 17–23 Apr 22 | 2523.33 | 1942.32 | 8.55 | 0.05 | |
4 | 1 Dec 21–23 Apr 22 | 24–30 Apr 22 | 4665.59 | 4235.41 | 22.55 | 0.10 | |
Average | 2484.41 | 2163.95 | 10.27 | 0.05 | |||
14-day interval | 1 | 1 Dec 21–2 Apr 22 | 3–16 Apr 22 | 2484.92 | 2296.17 | 9.15 | 0.04 |
2 | 1 Dec 21–16 Apr 22 | 17–30 Apr 22 | 5238.33 | 4264.90 | 21.64 | 0.11 | |
Average | 3861.63 | 3280.54 | 15.40 | 0.08 | |||
28-day interval | 1 | 1 Dec 21–2 Apr 22 | 3–30 Apr 22 | 7554.66 | 6023.39 | 28.41 | 0.14 |