Table 3. Imported cases and secondary infections, patients and HCWs are named C1xx and H10xx, respectively.
| Imported case | Posterior probability of importation | Secondary onward transmission by imported case | Posterior probability of onward transmission |
|---|---|---|---|
| C107 | 100 | H1077 C131 C124 H1005 C125 H1034 H1068 C112 C116 |
100 72.5 39.4 35.0 32.9 27.3 18.5 15.9 11.7 |
| C114* | 42.5 | C115* | 42.5 |
| C115* | 57.5 | C114* | 57.5 |
| C123 | 96.4 | H1058 H1036 H1047 |
90.1 16.0 11.1 |
| C153* | 51.7 | H1057* | 51.6 |
| H1008* | 85.7 | H1059* | 85.7 |
| H1011* | 65.9 | H1019* | 61.7 |
| H1012 | 100 | N/A | N/A |
| H1013 | 100 | N/A | N/A |
| H1015 | 100 | N/A | N/A |
| H1017* | 52.3 | H1020 H1021* |
100.0 52.3 |
| H1019* | 34.1 | H1011* | 28.2 |
| H1021* | 47.7 | H1017* | 47.7 |
| H1025 | 86.6 | H1085 H1031 |
95.7 41.5 |
| H1048 | 100 | N/A | N/A |
| H1052* | 18.9 | H1082* | 18.9 |
| H1057* | 48.3 | C153* | 48.3 |
| H1059* | 14.3 | H1008* | 14.3 |
| H1073 | 100 | N/A | N/A |
| H1082* | 81.1 | H1052* | 81.1 |
| H1110 | 85.1 | H1063 H1064 H1041 H1024 H1091 H1065 |
58.0 32.4 30.0 22.5 22.1 17.2 |
| H1122 | 84.5 | C113 C104 H1033 H1003 H1004 H1044 |
53.7 26.0 17.0 15.5 15.0 10.6 |
N/A: not applicable.
*
Uncertainty in transmission (i.e., case could either be an imported case or a secondary case).