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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2023 Jan 1.
Published in final edited form as: Nat Med. 2022 May 26;28(7):1398–1405. doi: 10.1038/s41591-022-01822-2

Table 3 |.

Prediction of amyloid and tau PET abnormalities with dichotomous plasma P-tau181 and P-tau217 results using different methods for selecting cutpoints.

P-tau Measure Negative N (%) Positive N (%) Sens Spec PPV NPV Youden Unadjusted AUROC Adjusted * AUROC Adj onlya AUROC
Amyloid PET >=1.48
Cutpoints defined as 1.96 standard deviations above the mean among participants who were CU, A−, and without history or stroke, myocardial infarction, or chronic kidney disease
 P-tau 181 >=1.57 51 / 637 (8.0%) 213 / 414 (51.4%) 51.4 91.9 80.6 74.4 43.3 0.717 (0.691, 0.744) 0.825 (0.801, 0.850) 0.754 (0.726, 0.783)
 P-tau 217 >=0.25 23 / 637 (3.6%) 211 / 414 (51.0%) 50.9 96.3 90.1 75.1 47.2 0.737 (0.712, 0.762) 0.837 (0.813, 0.861) 0.754 (0.726, 0.783)

Cutpoints defined as 1.96 standard deviations above the mean among all participants who were CU and A−
 P-tau 181 >=1.75 26 / 637 (4.1%) 172 / 414 (41.5%) 41.5 95.9 86.8 71.6 37.4 0.687 (0.662, 0.712) 0.819 (0.794, 0.844) 0.754 (0.726, 0.783)
 P-tau 217 >=0.26 12 / 637 (1.9%) 193 / 414 (46.6%) 46.6 98.1 94.1 73.8 44.7 0.724 (0.699, 0.748) 0.833 (0.809, 0.858) 0.754 (0.726, 0.783)

Temporal Meta ROI Tau PET >=1.29
Cutpoints defined as 1.96 standard deviations above the mean among participants who were CU, A−, and without history or stroke, myocardial infarction, or chronic kidney disease
 P-tau 181 >=1.57 30 / 430 (7.0%) 18 / 65 (27.7%) 27.6 93.0 37.5 89.4 20.6 0.604 (0.547, 0.660) 0.798 (0.746, 0.850) 0.788 (0.736, 0.839)
 P-tau 217 >=0.25 43/430 (10.0%) 26/65 (40.0%) 40.0 90.0 37.6 90.8 30.0 0.650 (0.588, 0.712) 0.804 (0.752, 0.855) 0.788 (0.736, 0.839)

Cutpoints defined as 1.96 standard deviations above the mean among all participants who were CU and A−
 P-tau 181 >=1.75 21 / 430 (4.9%) 13 / 65 (20.0%) 20.0 95.1 38.2 88.7 15.1 0.576 (0.526, 0.626) 0.792 (0.739, 0.844) 0.788 (0.736, 0.839)
 P-tau 217 >=0.26 33 / 430 (7.7%) 23 / 65 (35.4%) 35.3 92.3 41.0 90.4 27.6 0.639 (0.579, 0.698) 0.804 (0.753, 0.855) 0.788 (0.736, 0.839)

ERC Tau PET >=1.27
Cutpoints defined as 1.96 standard deviations above the mean among participants who were CU, A−, and without history or stroke, myocardial infarction, or chronic kidney disease
 P-tau 181 >=1.57 24 / 446 (5.4%) 24 / 49 (49.0%) 48.9 94.6 50.0 94.4 43.5 0.718 (0.647, 0.789) 0.872 (0.825, 0.919) 0.800 (0.748, 0.852)
 P-tau 217 >=0.25 38/446 (8.5%) 31 / 49 (63.3%) 63.2 91.4 44.9 95.7 54.6 0.774 (0.704, 0.843) 0.869 (0.823, 0.916) 0.800 (0.748, 0.852)

Cutpoints defined as 1.96 standard deviations above the mean among all participants who were CU and A−
 P-tau 181 >=1.75 16 / 446 (3.6%) 18 / 49 (36.7%) 36.7 96.4 52.9 93.2 33.1 0.666 (0.597, 0.734) 0.857 (0.808, 0.906) 0.800 (0.748, 0.852)
 P-tau 217 >=0.26 28 / 446 (6.3%) 28 / 49 (57.1%) 57.1 93.7 50.0 95.2 50.8 0.754 (0.683, 0.825) 0.872 (0.826, 0.918) 0.800 (0.748, 0.852)
a

Adjusted variables included age and sex. The Adj only column is the AUROC for age and sex alone.

A−, not having elevated brain amyloid, CU, cognitively unimpaired; ERC, entorhinal cortex; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value; ROI, Region of Interest; Sens, sensitivity; Spec, specificity.