Table 2.
No. | Same direction | Statistically significant | Bayesian tests | Subjective assessment | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Repro | Pooled gen | All data | Repro | Pooled gen | All data | Repro | Pooled gen | All data | ||
1 | No | No | Yes | No | Yes | Yes | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | No |
2 | Yes | Yes | Yes | No | Yes | Yes | Confirmed | Unclear | Confirmed | Yes |
3 | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Disconfirmed | Confirmed | Confirmed | Yes |
4 | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Confirmed | Confirmed | Confirmed | Yes |
5 | Yes | Yes | Yes | No | No | No | Confirmed | Confirmed | Confirmed | Yes |
6 | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | No | No | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | No |
7 | No | No | No | Yes | Yes | Yes | Confirmed | Confirmed | Confirmed | No |
8 | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Disconfirmed | Disconfirmed | Disconfirmed | No |
9 | Yes | Yes | Yes | No | Yes | Yes | Unclear | Confirmed | Confirmed | No |
10 | No | Yes | Yes | No | Yes | No | Confirmed | Confirmed | Unclear | No |
11 | No | No | No | No | No | No | Confirmed | Confirmed | Confirmed | No |
12 | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | Yes |
13 | Yes | No | No | No | No | No | Unclear | Unclear | Confirmed | No |
14 | Yes | No | No | No | No | No | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | No |
15 | Yes | Yes | Yes | No | Yes | Yes | Confirmed | Confirmed | Confirmed | Yes |
16 | Yes | Yes | Yes | No | Yes | Yes | Confirmed | Confirmed | Disconfirmed | No |
17 | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | Yes |
18 | No | No | No | No | No | No | Confirmed | Confirmed | Disconfirmed | No |
19 | Yes | Yes | Yes | No | No | No | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | No |
20 | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Confirmed | Confirmed | Unclear | Yes |
21 | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Confirmed | Confirmed | Confirmed | Yes |
22 | Yes | No | No | No | No | No | Confirmed | Confirmed | Confirmed | No |
23 | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Confirmed | Confirmed | Confirmed | Yes |
24 | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Confirmed | Confirmed | Confirmed | Yes |
25 | No | No | No | No | No | Yes | Disconfirmed | Disconfirmed | Disconfirmed | Yes |
26 | Yes | Yes | Yes | No | Yes | Yes | Confirmed | Confirmed | Confirmed | Yes |
27 | Yes | No | Yes | Yes | No | No | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | No |
28 | No | No | No | Yes | No | No | Confirmed | Disconfirmed | Disconfirmed | Yes |
29 | Yes | No | Yes | No | No | No | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | No |
Repro refers to the reproduction test. Pooled gen refers to pooling all time and geographic extension data for a given effect. All refers to pooling all data used in the reproduction and generalizability tests for an effect. For comparisons of effect direction, yes means the new result and the original effect are in the same direction. For tests of statistical significance, yes means the effect is statistically significant at P < 0.05. Five tests (papers 25 to 29) were nonsignificant in the original report. Confirmed means that the effect is supported from a Bayesian perspective at Bayes factor greater than three. Disconfirmed means that the effect is contradicted from a Bayesian perspective at Bayes factor < 0.33. For the subjective assessment, yes means that the present research team believes that the effect was supported.