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. 2022 Jul 19;119(30):e2120377119. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2120377119

Table 2.

Research reliability criteria

No. Same direction Statistically significant Bayesian tests Subjective assessment
Repro Pooled gen All data Repro Pooled gen All data Repro Pooled gen All data
1 No No Yes No Yes Yes Unclear Unclear Unclear No
2 Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Confirmed Unclear Confirmed Yes
3 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Disconfirmed Confirmed Confirmed Yes
4 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Confirmed Confirmed Confirmed Yes
5 Yes Yes Yes No No No Confirmed Confirmed Confirmed Yes
6 Yes Yes Yes Yes No No Unclear Unclear Unclear No
7 No No No Yes Yes Yes Confirmed Confirmed Confirmed No
8 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Disconfirmed Disconfirmed Disconfirmed No
9 Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Unclear Confirmed Confirmed No
10 No Yes Yes No Yes No Confirmed Confirmed Unclear No
11 No No No No No No Confirmed Confirmed Confirmed No
12 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Unclear Unclear Unclear Yes
13 Yes No No No No No Unclear Unclear Confirmed No
14 Yes No No No No No Unclear Unclear Unclear No
15 Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Confirmed Confirmed Confirmed Yes
16 Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Confirmed Confirmed Disconfirmed No
17 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Unclear Unclear Unclear Yes
18 No No No No No No Confirmed Confirmed Disconfirmed No
19 Yes Yes Yes No No No Unclear Unclear Unclear No
20 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Confirmed Confirmed Unclear Yes
21 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Confirmed Confirmed Confirmed Yes
22 Yes No No No No No Confirmed Confirmed Confirmed No
23 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Confirmed Confirmed Confirmed Yes
24 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Confirmed Confirmed Confirmed Yes
25 No No No No No Yes Disconfirmed Disconfirmed Disconfirmed Yes
26 Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Confirmed Confirmed Confirmed Yes
27 Yes No Yes Yes No No Unclear Unclear Unclear No
28 No No No Yes No No Confirmed Disconfirmed Disconfirmed Yes
29 Yes No Yes No No No Unclear Unclear Unclear No

Repro refers to the reproduction test. Pooled gen refers to pooling all time and geographic extension data for a given effect. All refers to pooling all data used in the reproduction and generalizability tests for an effect. For comparisons of effect direction, yes means the new result and the original effect are in the same direction. For tests of statistical significance, yes means the effect is statistically significant at P < 0.05. Five tests (papers 25 to 29) were nonsignificant in the original report. Confirmed means that the effect is supported from a Bayesian perspective at Bayes factor greater than three. Disconfirmed means that the effect is contradicted from a Bayesian perspective at Bayes factor < 0.33. For the subjective assessment, yes means that the present research team believes that the effect was supported.