Table 3.
Comparative fit of alternative models relating to rabies cases during the period pre-dry conditions, dry conditions and post dry conditions
| Predictors | AIC | |
|---|---|---|
| Pre-dry period | *Vegetation index (July 2013) | 1462 |
| *Vegetation index (May 2013) | 1473 | |
| Average temperature (Dry season 2012) | 8091 | |
| Average vegetation index (dry season 2010) | 8145 | |
| Average vegetation index (Dry season 2009) | 8217 | |
| Average vegetation index (dry season 2011) | 8216 | |
| Dry period | *Average temperature (May 2015) + Vegetation index (May 2015) | 1305 |
| *Annual average temperature 2015 + Vegetation index (Jan 2015) | 1395 | |
| *Annual average temperature 2016 + Vegetation index (June 2016) | 1438 | |
| *Annual average temperature 2015 + Vegetation index (July 2015) | 1440 | |
| 2015.avtemp + Vegetation index (May 2015) | 1752 | |
| *Average temperature (Oct 2016) + Vegetation index (Oct 2016) | 1752 | |
| Post dry-period | *Rainfall total (dry season) + Average temperature (June) | 1294 |
| *Average temperature (Aug) + Vegetation index (May) | 1305 | |
| *Average temp (Sept) + vegetation (May) | 1306 | |
| *Rainfall total (dry season) + Average temperature (dry season) | 1308 | |
| *Average temperature (dry season) | 1308 |
Models with good fit/low AIC values have an asterisk symbol (*). Models on top per each period are the most parsimonious.