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. 2022 Jul 30;218:110766. doi: 10.1016/j.econlet.2022.110766

Table 3.

Panel estimate of abnormal returns after the H1N1 announcement.

VARIABLES (1) Brazil (2) Russia (3) India (4) China
Rt1 −0.0072 −0.0291 −0.0016 0.1052
(−0.1363) (−0.2758) (−0.0202) (1.0088)
RMt 0.8562*** 0.6574** 0.3819** 0.3533**
(8.6310) (2.2289) (2.0816) (2.2692)
ln(VIXt/VIXt1) −0.0170 −0.0235 −0.0203 0.1181*
(−0.4665) (−0.2099) (−0.2185) (1.9082)
E10 0.7720*** −0.0354 0.3935 −1.0417***
(3.8482) (−0.0749) (0.6555) (−2.7008)
E9 −1.2598*** 2.7807*** 1.4471* 0.7127*
(−4.2125) (3.7420) (1.7107) (1.7458)
E8 0.0132 5.1404*** 0.5088 1.2946**
(0.0306) (4.0070) (0.5811) (2.0213)
E7 −1.3353*** −1.1517 −0.6054 −0.0178
(−7.7474) (−1.4192) (−1.4894) (−0.0512)
E6 −2.6143*** −7.2522*** 0.3395 1.6228***
(−11.3538) (−11.5044) (0.8699) (4.8765)
E5 1.2956*** −0.5835 0.0279 −0.5181
(4.6991) (−0.6266) (0.0691) (−1.5481)
E4 −0.2914 1.7395*** −0.0313 −0.7456**
(−1.5792) (3.8542) (−0.0782) (−2.2973)
E3 0.3703** −2.5111*** −3.8355*** −0.8910***
(2.2301) (−5.4316) (−12.3966) (−2.8453)
E2 −1.5329*** −1.5711** 2.0496*** 1.3318***
(−7.7166) (−2.5467) (3.8272) (3.1536)
E1 0.5167*** 1.4769*** 2.0150*** 0.2534
(2.8489) (3.3499) (5.0905) (0.9334)
E0 −0.6451*** −0.4685 −1.0340*** −1.6830***
(−3.8503) (−1.1440) (−2.3585) (−6.1892)
E+1 −0.9351*** −4.2288*** −1.6309*** −2.0166***
(−3.2782) (−4.5816) (−5.3138) (−5.9642)
E+2 −0.6920** 2.2214** −1.4945** 1.8453***
(−2.1008) (2.4156) (−2.2209) (3.2379)
E+3 −0.5300** −6.0817**** 0.9538* −0.6360*
(−2.4844) (−11.1071) (1.7736) (−1.6977)
E+4 −1.3469*** −3.2058*** −4.0638*** 2.2567***
(−7.3314) (−4.0869) (−8.2075) (6.0131)
E+5 0.2696 −1.2491 −3.2616*** 0.6384
(1.0815) (−1.6189) (−6.7214) (1.6216)
E+6 −1.1390*** −6.4357*** 0.7848 1.0131**
(−3.6996) (−6.2636) (1.1626) (2.0387)
E+7 0.1224 −3.1230*** −0.8274 −1.1302**
(0.4411) (−3.1894) (−1.1638) (−2.1652)
E+8 −1.1885*** 5.9099*** −0.2548 −0.8025**
(−6.2668) (10.3719) (−0.7491) (−2.5221)
E+9 1.3956*** −4.3147*** 0.3219 2.3003***
(5.3175) (−4.4149) (0.5915) (5.7605)
E+10 −0.1950 −0.6452 −2.6054*** −0.2163
(−0.9090) (−1.2658) (−3.0839) (−0.3959)
Constant 0.2635 0.5308 0.4021 0.4122
(1.6624) (1.3123) (1.3091) (1.4540)

Observations 112 112 112 112
R-squared 0.7642 0.3798 0.2149 0.1073

Note: This table reports the panel estimates for abnormal returns from Eq. (1). The dependent variable (Rt) is the stock percentage return of each BRIC country. Rt1 is the first lag of the stock return. RMt represents the derived market return of the S&P500 in percentage points. ln(VIXt/VIXt1) is the percentage return of the VIX. E±S, with S=1,2,4,5,10, is a binary variable that takes the value 1, individualizing each day of the H1N1 event window. T-statistic in parentheses. */**/*** significant at 10%/5%/1%, respectively.