Marginal predictions from a mixed logit model by race and ethnicity and calendar period, representing the average adjusted probability of the first occurrence of any adverse renal outcome at a given hospital admission, excluding all subsequent admissions. Model is adjusted for age, insurance type, income, census region, APR-DRG illness severity level, seizure, and hospital-level random effects. Error bars represent 95% confidence intervals for the mean prediction calculated using the Delta method estimates of standard errors and are not shown for racial and ethnic categories that were not significantly different from the reference group (non-Hispanic White) on the log odds scale.