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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2023 Aug 1.
Published in final edited form as: Arthritis Rheumatol. 2022 Jun 28;74(8):1430–1439. doi: 10.1002/art.42127

Table 2.

Average effects of race and ethnicity and calendar period on adverse renal outcomes among hospitalized children with SLE

Fixed effects Unadjusted Demographics
& severitya
Fully adjustedb Sensitivity
Analysisc
Random effects None None Hospital-level Hospital-level
OR [95% CI]
Composite adverse renal outcome (ESRD, dialysis, transplant) at any hospital admission
Race and ethnicity
 Non-Hispanic White (reference)
 Asian 1.09 [0.86-1.38] 1.03 [0.80-1.31] 0.95 [0.48-1.89] 0.95 [0.48-1.88]
 Black 2.41 [2.10-2.76] *** 2.16 [1.87-2.50] *** 2.50 [1.77-3.52] *** 2.50 [1.75-3.58] ***
 Hispanic Other 1.12 [0.93-1.34] 1.17 [0.96-1.43] 1.15 [0.62-2.14] 1.13 [0.59-2.15]
 Hispanic White 1.21 [1.02-1.43] * 1.04 [0.87-1.26] 1.16 [0.76-1.76] 1.16 [0.76-1.78]
 Non-Hispanic Other 1.10 [0.90-1.36] 1.10 [0.88-1.38] 1.24 [0.73-2.10] 1.23 [0.71-2.13]
Calendar period
 2006-2010 (reference)
 2011-2015 0.81 [0.73-0.89] *** 0.60 [0.54-0.67] *** 0.60 [0.46-0.79] *** 0.60 [0.46-0.79] ***
 2016-2019 0.81 [0.73-0.90] *** 0.51 [0.46-0.58] *** 0.54 [0.42-0.68] *** 0.57 [0.45-0.73] ***
ESRD diagnosis code assigned to any given hospital admission
Race and ethnicity
 Non-Hispanic White (reference)
 Asian 0.92 [0.68-1.23] 0.88 [0.64-1.19] 0.82 [0.40-1.69] 0.81 [0.39-1.68]
 Black 2.60 [2.22-3.05] *** 2.23 [1.89-2.65] *** 2.61 [1.85-3.68] *** 2.59 [1.81-3.70] ***
 Hispanic Other 1.17 [0.94-1.45] 1.18 [0.94-1.50] 1.16 [0.56-2.41] 1.16 [0.55-2.43]
 Hispanic White 1.38 [1.13-1.67] *** 1.16 [0.94-1.44] 1.32 [0.84-2.06] 1.32 [0.84-2.08]
 Non-Hisp. Other 1.03 [0.79-1.33] 1.03 [0.79-1.35] 1.19 [0.64-2.23] 1.19 [0.63-2.24]
Calendar period
 2006-2010 (reference)
 2011-2015 0.73 [0.65-0.83] *** 0.56 [0.50-0.64] *** 0.56 [0.39-0.80] ** 0.56 [0.39-0.80] **
 2016-2019 0.84 [0.75-0.95] ** 0.56 [0.49-0.64] *** 0.59 [0.44-0.80] *** 0.64 [0.48-0.86] **
Dialysis procedure code at any given hospital admission
Race and ethnicity
 Non-Hispanic White (reference)
 Asian 1.34 [1.02-1.77] * 1.15 [0.86-1.54] 1.07 [0.64-1.80] 1.08 [0.64-1.81]
 Black 2.25 [1.90-2.66] *** 2.02 [1.68-2.42] *** 2.33 [1.69-3.21] *** 2.35 [1.68-3.29] ***
 Hispanic Other 0.96 [0.76-1.22] 0.99 [0.76-1.28] 1.07 [0.61-1.90] 1.06 [0.60-1.89]
 Hispanic White 1.22 [0.99-1.50] 1.06 [0.84-1.34] 1.24 [0.84-1.84] 1.24 [0.82-1.87]
 Non-Hisp. Other 1.07 [0.82-1.40] 1.02 [0.77-1.34] 1.15 [0.72-1.85] 1.15 [0.71-1.87]
Calendar period
 2006-2010 (reference)
 2011-2015 0.67 [0.59-0.75] *** 0.48 [0.42-0.55] *** 0.47 [0.34-0.66] *** 0.47 [0.34-0.66] ***
 2016-2019 0.58 [0.51-0.67] *** 0.36 [0.31-0.42] *** 0.37 [0.27-0.51] *** 0.39 [0.28-0.53] ***

Separate unadjusted (N = 20893) and adjusted (N = 20393) mixed effects logistic regression models of the odds of each renal outcome: I) composite adverse renal outcome, II) ESRD diagnosis, or III) dialysis, at any given hospital admission.

*

p<0.05;

**

p<0.01;

***

p<0.001

a)

Adjusted for age, census region, insurance type, median household income, APR-DRG illness severity, and seizure diagnosis. Patient sex, urban hospital, hospital volume, stroke diagnosis, and CAMHD-CS mental health disorder classifications were tested in the models and did not meet criteria for retention.

b)

Adjusted for all variables in a) as fixed effects, and hospital-level clustering as a random effect.

c)

Fully adjusted model with hospital-level random effects in b), excluding patients whose index admission occurred in 2019 (N=20033)