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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2024 Feb 1.
Published in final edited form as: Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2022 Feb 3;21(2):415–423.e4. doi: 10.1016/j.cgh.2022.01.047

Table 2:

Patient-level sensitivity or true positive rate (TPR) and screening test-level false positive rate (FPR) for detecting any stage HCC at published thresholds for 6, 12, and 24 months prior to HCC diagnosis and the associated 95% bootstrap percentile intervals.

HCC within 6 months (HCC cases: 33, Non-HCC: 526) HCC within 12 months (HCC cases: 42, Non-HCC: 517) HCC within 24 months (HCC cases: 49 Non-HCC: 497)
TPR (%) FPR (%) TPR (%) FPR (%) TPR (%) FPR (%)
AFP>20 ng/mL 18.2 (6.2–32.1) 4.1 (2.8–5.5) 23.8 (11.4–37.5) 3.8 (2.6–5.2) 22.4 (11.4–34.1) 3.7 (2.5–5.1)
AFP-L3%>10% 33.3 (16.7–48.5) 5.5 (3.9–7.3) 35.7 (21.1–50.0) 5.2 (3.6–7.0) 32.7 (19.6–45.6) 5.0 (3.4–6.9)
DCP>7.5 ng/mL 15.2 (4.2–29.4) 1.4 (0.7–2.1) 11.9 (3.0–22.7) 1.4 (0.8–2.2) 12.2 (4.3–22.2) 1.3 (0.7–2.0)
AFP>20 ng/mL, AFP-L3%>10% or DCP>7.5 ng/mL 39.4 (23.3–56.2) 9.7 (7.8–11.9) 47.6 (31.9–62.8) 9.3 (7.4–11.3) 46.9 (32.6–60.3) 8.8 (6.8–10.9)
GALAD> −0.63 63.6 (46.9–78.8) 22.9 (19.8–26.5) 73.8 (60.0–86.4) 22.2 (19.1–25.8) 71.4 (58.8–83.3) 21.5 (18.5–25.1)
HES>10.17% 24.2 (10.0–40.0) 5.9 (4.3–7.8) 26.2 (12.8–39.6) 5.6 (4.0–7.5) 26.5 (14.0–39.1) 5.3 (3.7–7.1)