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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2024 Feb 1.
Published in final edited form as: Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2022 Feb 3;21(2):415–423.e4. doi: 10.1016/j.cgh.2022.01.047

Table 3:

Patient-level sensitivity or true positive rate (TPR) and screening test-level false positive rate (FPR) at published thresholds for detecting early-stage HCC within 6, 12, and 24 months prior to HCC diagnosis and the associated 95% bootstrap percentile intervals.

HCC within 6 months (HCC cases: 26, Non-HCC: 513) HCC within 12 months (HCC cases: 30, Non-HCC: 507) HCC within 24 months (HCC cases: 34, Non-HCC: 494)
TPR (%) FPR (%) TPR (%) FPR (%) TPR (%) FPR (%)
AFP>20 ng/mL 19.2 (5.0–36.4) 3.9 (2.6–5.3) 23.2 (9.1–39.3) 3.8 (2.6–5.2) 23.5 (10.0–38.2) 3.7 (2.4–5.0)
AFP-L3%>10% 26.9 (10.7–44.4) 5.3 (3.7–7.1) 30.0 (14.3–46.4) 5.1 (3.6–7.0) 36.5 (12.1–41.7) 5.0 (3.5–6.9)
DCP>7.5 ng/mL 11.5 (0.0–26.7) 1.3 (0.7–2.0) 10.0 (0.0–22.6) 1.3 (0.7–2.1) 8.8 (0.0–20.0) 1.3 (0.7–2.0)
AFP>20 ng/mL, AFP-L3%>10% or DCP>7.5 ng/mL 30.8 (13.3–48.1) 9.4 (7.4–11.4) 40.0 (22.2–57.1) 9.1 (7.2–11.2) 38.2 (21.9–54.8) 8.7 (6.8–10.9)
GALAD> −0.63 53.8 (34.4–71.9) 22.1 (18.9–25.7) 63.3 (45.8–80.0) 21.8 (18.7–25.4) 61.8 (45.5–77.8) 21.5 (18.4–25.1)
HES>10.17% 26.9 (10.5–45.5) 5.5 (3.9–7.4) 23.3 (9.1–39.3) 5.5 (3.8–7.3) 23.5 (10.0–38.2) 5.2 (3.6–7.1)