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. 2022 Aug 3;378:e070135. doi: 10.1136/bmj-2022-070135

Table 1.

Effect of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination on risk of recurrence of lesions related to HPV infection and HPV clearance after local surgical treatment for genital disease (randomised controlled trials and observational studies)

Outcome No of studies* (references) Total No of participants Vaccine group
(events per total
n/N (%))
Non-vaccine group
(events per total
n/N (%))
Risk ratio (95% CI)
random effects model (inverse variance method)
I2 τ2 PI
CIN2+† 11 (18, 19, 21, 22, 42, 44-49) 19 909 141/3472 (4%) 926/16437 (5.6%) 0.43 (0.30 to 0.60) 58% 0.14 0.16 to 1.12
CIN1+ 5 (21, 22, 44, 47, 48) 1045 89/587 (15.1%) 116/458 (25.3%) 0.55 (0.31 to 0.96) 63% 0.15 0.13 to 2.26
CIN3 3 (18, 19, 47) 17 757 45/2428 (1.4%) 420/15329 (2.7%) 0.28 (0.01 to 6.37) 71% 1.23 N/A
CIN2 3 (18, 19, 47) 17 757 15/2428 (0.6%) 365/15329 (2.3%) 0.23 (0.11 to 0.48) 0% 0 0.03 to 1.99
CIN1 4 (21, 22, 47, 48) 970 55/562 (9.7%) 44/408 (10.7%) 0.86 (0.31 to 2.33) 62% 0.27 0.06 to 11.88
CIN2+ related to HPV16 or HPV18 6 (18, 21, 42, 45, 46, 48) 1879 12/953 (1.2%) 53/926 (5.7%) 0.26 (0.16 to 0.43) 0% 0 0.16 to 0.45
CIN1+ related to HPV16 or HPV18 1 (21) 178 2/89 (2.2%) 8/89 (8.9%) 0.25 (0.05 to 1.14) N/A N/A N/A
Abnormal cytology 1 (21) 178 7/89 (7.8%) 23/89 (25.8%) 0.30 (0.14 to 0.67) N/A N/A N/A
VIN1+ or VaIN1+ 1 (21) 178 0/89 (0%) 3/89 (3.3%) 0.14 (0.01 to 2.73) N/A N/A N/A
VIN2+ or VaIN2+ 2 (21, 50) 296 8/131 (6.1%) 27/165 (16.3%) 0.56 (0.01 to 35.16) 0% 0 N/A
Genital warts 1 (41) 171 45/91 (49.4%) 35/80 (43.7%) 0.14 (0.01 to 2.73) N/A N/A N/A
High grade AIN 1 (43) 152 12/38 (31.5%) 35/114 (40.7%) 1.03 (0.60 to 1.77) N/A N/A N/A
Persistent HPV infection‡ 1 (18) 344 26/166 (15.6%) 32/178 (17.9%) 0.87 (0.54 to 1.40) N/A N/A N/A

AIN=anal intraepithelial neoplasia; CIN=cervical intraepithelial neoplasia, grade 1 (CIN1), grade 1 or higher (CIN1+), grade 2 (CIN2), grade 2 or higher (CIN2+), grade 3 (CIN3); N/A=not applicable; PI=prediction interval; VIN1+ or VaIN1+=vulvar or vaginal intraepithelial neoplasia grade 1 or higher, grade 2 or higher (VIN2+ or VaIN2+).

*

All studies included an intervention (vaccine) and a control (non-vaccine) group.

Adjusted data were used when available

HPV type detected at baseline and six months after local surgical treatment.