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. 2022 Aug 3;2022(8):CD013829. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD013829.pub2

De Koning 2020.

Study characteristics
Methods Trial design: phase 3 RCT 
Duration of follow‐up: 10 years 
Number of trial locations: 4
Participants Baseline characteristics
Number of participants: LDCT arm (7900); control arm (7892)
Age: median age LDCT arm (58 years old); control arm (58 years old) 
Sex: LDCT arm (6583 males, 1317 females); control arm (6612 males, 1277 females, 3 missing)
Smoking status: LDCT arm (4415 current, 3465 former, 20 missing); control arm (4333 current, 3536 former, 23 missing)
Performance status: Dutch control arm only N = 7393 (1124 had excellent/very good health, 4922 had good health, 1347 had moderate/poor health). Dutch control arm only N = 7398 (3292 had high physical activity levels, 3318 had moderate physical activity levels, 788 had low physical activity levels)
Ethnicity/race: not published
Environmental exposures: not published
Inclusion criteria
  • Born between 1928 and 1956

  • Smoked > 15 cigarettes/day during > 25 years or smoked > 10 cigarettes/day over > 30 years

  • Current or former smokers who quit smoking ≤ 10 years ago


Exclusion criteria
  • Moderate or bad self‐reported health who were unable to climb two flights of stairs

  • Body weight ≥ 140 kg

  • Current or past renal cancer, melanoma or breast cancer

  • Lung cancer diagnosed < 5 years ago or ≥ 5 years ago but still under treatment

  • Had a chest CT examination < 1 year before they filled in the first NELSON questionnaire


Preintervention investigations
  • Nil 

Interventions Intervention characteristics
  • Frequency of scanning: baseline, year 1, year 3 and year 5.5 

  • LDCT setting: 30 mA and 120 kVP to 140 kVP

  • Duration of screening: 5.5 years 


Interpretation of scans
  • Volumetric or size Criteria: volumetric

  • Use of volumetry software: yes

  • Criteria for significance: any non‐calcified nodule with no benign characteristics

  • Prespecified protocol for nodule follow‐up: yes


Comparison
  • Description: no screening

Outcomes Primary outcome
  • Lung cancer mortality 


Secondary outcomes
  • Lung cancer incidence (stage‐specific; time interval; screen‐detected versus interval cancers) and survival

  • Detection rates for first (prevalence) and subsequent (Incidence) screening, as well as stage distribution

  • Sensitivity, specificity and positive predictive value 

  • Quality of Life

  • Quality‐adjusted life years

  • Cost‐effectiveness

Identification Sponsorship source: Stichting Centraal Fonds Reserves van Voormalig Vrijwillige Ziekenfondsverzekeringen (RvvZ), Siemens Germany, G. Ph. Verhagen Stichting, Rotterdam Oncologic Thoracic Steering committee (ROTS), Erasmus Trust fund, Stichting tegen Kanker, Vlaamse Liga tegen Kanker
Country: The Netherlands and Belgium
Setting: hospital 
Trial start date: August 2003
Completion of follow‐up: December 2015
Trial registration number: ISRCTN63545820
Corresponding author's name: Harry J Koning
Institution: Erasmus Medical Center, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
Email: h.dekoning@erasmusmc.nl
Notes Conflicts of interest 
Carlijn van der Aalst reported receiving supplies from Siemens.
Pom A. de Jong reported receiving grant support, paid to his institution, from Philips.
Mathias Prokop reported receiving fees for serving on a speakers bureau from Bayer HealthCare and Bracco Imaging and grant support and fees for serving on a speakers bureau from Canon Medical Systems and Siemens.
Joachim G.J.V. Aerts reported receiving consulting fees from Amphera, AstraZeneca, Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol‐Myers Squibb, Eli Lilly, F. Hoffmann–La Roche, Merck, and Takeda Oncology, holding pending patent #PCT/NL20/19/050636 on specific inhibition of Janus kinase 3 for modulating antitumour immune responses, and holding patent #9962433 on a method for preparing an immunogenic lysate, the lysate obtained, dendritic cells loaded with such lysate, and a pharmaceutical composition comprising the lysate or the dendritic cells.
Rozemarijn Vliegenthart reported receiving fees for serving on a review committee from BTG International and grant support, paid to her institution, from Siemens.
Kevin ten Haaf reported receiving supplies from Siemens. 
Matthijs Oudkerk reported receiving lecture fees from AstraZeneca and Siemens Medical Solutions USA. 
No other potential conflict of interest were reported.
 
Risk of bias
Bias Authors' judgement Support for judgement
Random sequence generation (selection bias) Low risk Documented 1:1 randomisation
Allocation concealment (selection bias) Low risk Central allocation concealment method used, information from author
Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
All outcomes High risk Participants were not blinded.
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
All outcomes High risk There were some concerns about the method of determining lung cancer‐related mortality. The 2012 publication by Horeweg et al. in Lung Cancer reviewed the preliminary 50 completed medical files of Dutch participants who were deceased and had a diagnosis of lung cancer. This trial reported a reduced specificity for death certificates (62.5%) and sensitivity of 95.2% compared with a clinical expert committee. This was subsequently followed by a larger sample of 263 participant deaths and the specificity rose to 98.8% and sensitivity of 92.6%. The committee reclassified 12.2% of causes of death. However, the remaining 163 male deaths then had cause of death determined by death certificate only. The assessors were unblinded in subsequent publication.
There were no significant concerns about assessment of other outcomes. 
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
All outcomes Low risk 18 persons could not be linked because a digital form could not be retrieved for national linkages, > 98% coverage
Selective reporting (reporting bias) Low risk Cost analysis will be published, information from author
Other bias High risk There was an inadequate balance of males and females included in this trial. Additionally, method of assessment of primary lung cancer‐related mortality outcome was changed during the trial. The initial trial protocol planned only 4 years of screening, however an additional scan was introduced and screening extended to 6.5 years. Information provided by author clarified that the fourth round of screening was sought in 2009, after the trial had commenced. This change to screening is unlikely to have increased risk of bias.