Table 2.

The effects of spontaneous social distancing.

	(1)	(2)	(3)
	% Change Res. Mobility	% Change R	PPt. Change Init. Claims
	2sls 1st step	2sls 2nd step	2sls 2nd step
% Republican votes in 2016	−0.189
	(0.000)
PPt. Change res. mobility		−2.268	0.168
		(0.099)	(0.003)
r2	0.607	0.0439	0.140
N	51	51	51

Note: p‐values are reported in parentheses. Political leanings, as measured by the share of votes for the Republican presidential candidate in the 2016 election are the instrument for the Google residential mobility index in the 2‐stage‐least‐squares regressions in columns (2) and (3). The results in column (2) are based are based on the reproduction rate from the Rt.Live data set of Systrom, Vladek, and Krieger (2020). These regressions focus on the 2‐week period prior to the enactment of any state‐level stay‐at‐home orders.