TABLE 10.
Monte Carlo simulation for various models
| Iterations | SARIMAX (with grid search) | Linear regression | Polynomial regression | Prophet | SARIMAX (without grid search) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #23 | 1.2509 | 4.2372 | 2.4512 | 3.5612 | 1.2569 |
| #11 | 2.3710 | 7.9825 | 3.1298 | 2.8720 | 2.8719 |
| #45 | 1.5420 | 4.9146 | 2.8713 | 3.4101 | 2.8712 |
| #99 | 1.9812 | 5.7612 | 4.7512 | 2.3163 | 1.7610 |
| #78 | 2.7681 | 3.7123 | 3.1210 | 2.8731 | 2.8790 |
| #2 | 2.6501 | 4.9812 | 5.1291 | 2.5672 | 2.9854 |
| #61 | 3.7912 | 3.1240 | 4.1209 | 3.7612 | 2.0915 |
| #12 | 1.8721 | 5.1271 | 5.1971 | 3.8756 | 1.7609 |
| #55 | 1.9632 | 7.5621 | 4.1263 | 2.6732 | 3.9650 |
| #86 | 1.7621 | 8.8291 | 3.6101 | 3.5412 | 3.8912 |
| Mean | 2.1951 | 5.62313 | 3.8508 | 3.14511 | 2.6334 |