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. 2022 Jul 5:10.1111/jvh.13723. Online ahead of print. doi: 10.1111/jvh.13723

TABLE 2.

Estimated regression coefficients from interrupted time‐series analyses

Interruption Weekly number of antibody tests Weekly number of RNA tests Weekly number of first‐time testers Weekly number of consultation
Coefficient 95% CI p‐value Coefficient 95% CI p‐value Coefficient 95% CI p‐value Coefficient 95% CI p‐value
Period 1 trend β1 −0.17 −0.35–0.01 .058 −0.21 −0.35 to −0.07 .003 −0.12 −0.26 to 0.01 .075 2.65 −6.65 to 11.95 .574
First lockdown implemented Absolute level change at start of first lockdown Β2 −23.2 −38.4 to −8.1 .003 −8.6 −19.3 to 2.1 .115 −18.3 −30 to −6.6 .002 −91 −857.5 to 675.6 .815
Period 2 trend 1.03 −0.75 to 2.8 .254 0.27 −0.98 to 1.52 .673 0.89 −0.48 to 2.26 .202 57.22 −32.32 to 146.75 .208
Difference in trends (Period 2 – Period 1) Β3 1.2 −0.59 to 2.98 .186 0.48 −0.79 to 1.74 .456 1.01 −0.37 to 2.39 .149 54.57 −35.66 to 144.79 .233
Second lockdown implemented Absolute level change at start of second lockdown Β4 −17.2 −37 to 2.5 .087 −4.6 −18 to 8.8 .499 −16.4 −31.6 to −1.2 .035 −421.4 −1401.5 to 558.8 .396
Period 3 trend 0.3 −1.15 to 1.76 .679 0.34 −0.7 to 1.37 .52 0.61 −0.52 to 1.73 .287 −1.15 −74.89 to 72.58 .975
Difference in trends (Period 3 – Period 2) Β5 −0.72 −3.02 to 1.58 .535 0.07 −1.62 to 1.76 .934 −0.28 −2.06 to –1.5 .755 −58.37 −176.71 to 59.97 .331
Second lockdown ended Absolute level change at end of second lockdown Β6 6.8 −10.2 to 23.8 .430 −4.00 −15.9 to 7.9 .509 1.8 −11.3 to 14.9 .789 −181.2 −1036.7 to 674.2 .676
Period 4 trend 0.14 −0.42 to 0.71 .618 0.15 −0.28 to 0.57 .494 −0.04 −0.47 to 0.4 .869 31 1.68–60.32 .038
Difference in trends (Period 4 – Period 3) Β7 −0.16 −1.72 to 1.4 .839 −0.19 −1.33 to 0.95 .74 −0.64 −1.85 to 0.56) .294 32.15 −48.02 to 112.33 .429
Model fit, R 2 (AIC) 0.415 (1007.820) 0.3086 (866.825) 0.451 (940.802) 0.0818 (1957.710)