Table 1.
Parameter estimates from the best 10% emergence models.
| Best model using survey data | Best model using incidental data | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parameter | Estimate | SE | p value | Estimate | SE | p value |
| log(GDD) | − 32.5 | 11.1 | 3.82 E−03 | − 42.2 | 10.7 | 1.06 E−04 |
| Adult diapause (0/1) | 353.7 | 73.6 | 2.60 E−06 | 390.3 | 69.7 | 5.43 E−08 |
| Pupal diapause (0/1) | 382.1 | 74.3 | 5.34 E−07 | 427.6 | 70.5 | 4.63 E−09 |
| Larval diapause (0/1) | 398.8 | 73.8 | 1.46 E−07 | 442.2 | 70 | 1.14 E−09 |
| Migrant (0/1) | 431.9 | 74.6 | 2.01 E−08 | 469.8 | 70.8 | 1.88 E−10 |
| Locally common (0/1) | − 23.8 | 9.4 | 1.48 E−02 | NA | NA | NA |
| Marginal R2 | 0.43 | 0.42 | ||||
| Conditional R2 | 0.5 | 0.53 | ||||