Table 3.
No polypharmacy N = 913 |
Baseline only polypharmacy N = 87 |
Incident polypharmacy N = 130 |
Persistent polypharmacy N = 280 |
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β (SE) | P value | 95% CI | β (SE) | P value | 95% CI | β (SE) | P value | 95% CI | β (SE) | P value | 95% CI | |
Fixed effects | ||||||||||||
Intercept | 45.3 (0.3) | < 0.001 | 44.7, 46.0 | 40.9 (1.3) | < 0.001 | 38.3, 43.6 | 42.5 (1.0) | < 0.001 | 40.6, 44.3 | 38.7 (0.9) | < 0.001 | 37.0, 40.5 |
Slope (per year) | − 0.2 (0.1) | 0.009 | − 0.3, − 0.1 | − 0.3 (0.2) | 0.177 | − 0.7, 0.1 | − 0.9 (0.2) | < 0.001 | − 1.3, − 0.5 | − 0.2 (0.2) | 0.214 | − 0.5, 0.1 |
Random effects | ||||||||||||
Variance in intercept | 55.8 (3.03) | < 0.001 | 50.1, 62.0 | 84.9 (14.1) | < 0.001 | 61.4, 117.5 | 83.2 (12.0) | < 0.001 | 62.7, 110.3 | 70.5 (6.6) | < 0.001 | 58.6, 84.8 |
Variance in slope | 0.7 (0.2) | < 0.001 | 0.5, 1.1 | 0.18 (0.5) | 0.696 | 0.001, 27.8 | 2.01 (0.6) | 0.001 | 1.1, 3.7 | 0.4 (0.3) | 0.238 | 0.1, 1.7 |
Intercepts and slopes for all models are adjusted for age, sex, education, social life, marital status, Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas decile, physical activity, smoking and alcohol intake, and baseline comorbidities; All covariates were mean centred and included as intercept and slope predictors; PCS: physical component summary; Polypharmacy defined as ≥ 5 medications. Covariate estimates are reported in Table S11