Table 2. Binomial generalized linear mixed-effects models of the two best-ranked models M1 and M2.

Models show the effects of the local population size of Greylag Geese at the time of moult (MaxGrey), the yearly number of breeding pairs of Greylag Geese (PairsGrey), the yearly number of breeding pairs of Egyptian Geese (PairsEgypt), the initial number of hatchlings in each brood of Greylag Geese (Hatchlings) and whether a pair dispersed with their young or not (Dispersal). CI, 95% confidence interval.

Hatchling surival (%)
Model	M1			M2
Fixed Effects
Variables	Estimate	CI (95%)	p	Estimate	CI (95%)	p
(Intercept)	0.55	0.16–0.93	0.006	0.53	0.18–0.88	0.003
MaxGrey	−0.65	−1.01 to −0.30	<0.001
Hatchlings	0.19	0.01–0.38	0.043	0.19	0.01–0.38	0.044
Dispersal	0.69	0.39–0.99	<0.001	0.68	0.38–0.98	<0.001
Dispersal * Hatchlings	−0.30	−0.61–0	0.048	−0.31	−0.61 to −0.01	0.044
PairsGrey				−0.50	−0.83 to −0.18	0.002
PairsEgypt				−0.41	−0.73 to −0.10	0.010
Random Effects	M1			M2
NID	104			104
τ 00 ID	0.76			0.73
NY R	17			17
τ 00 Y R	0.30			0.21
Observations	938			938
Marginal R2/ Conditional R2	0.178/ 0.379			0.186/ 0.367