Table 3.

Gompertz equation for hazard of death in years beyond the focal event year.

	Coefficient (se)	HR (95% CI)	p
Baseline hazard
gamma	0.056 (0.002)		<0.001
Constant, β0	−7.068 (0.186)		<0.001
β coefficients	β	HR (95% CI)
Male	0.115 (0.035)	1.12 (1.05–1.20)	0.001
Type 1 diabetes	0.267 (0.047)	1.31 (1.19–1.43)	<0.001
Focus event
MI (referrant)	0	1
Stroke	0.286 (0.044)	1.33 (1.22–1.45)	<0.001
Heart failure if age under 60 years	1.62 (0.104)	5.05 (4.13–6.19)	<0.001
Heart failure at 60–69 years	1.28 (0.071)	3.62 (3.15–4.16)	<0.001
Heart failure at 70–79 years	0.966 (0.053)	2.63 (2.37–2.92)	<0.001
Heart failure if age >80 years	0.721 (0.055)	2.06 (1.85–2.29)	<0.001
Amputation	0.518 (0.057)	1.68 (1.50–1.88)	<0.001
Renal failure	1.043 (0.086)	2.84 (2.40–3.36)	<0.001
Ulcer	0.289 (0.058)	1.34 (1.19–1.50)	<0.001
Future events
MI and aged under 70	2.083 (0.082)	8.03 (6.84–9.42)	<0.001
MI and aged over 70	1.788 (0.048)	5.98 (5.44–6.57)	<0.001
Stroke	1.300 (0.054)	3.67 (3.30–4.08)	<0.001
Heart failure	0.566 (0.082)	1.76 (1.50–2.07)	<0.001
Renal failure	0.865 (0.145)	2.37 (1.77–3.18)	<0.001
Amputation	0.556 (0.117)	1.74 (1.38–2.19)	<0.001
Ulcer	0.299 (0.151)	1.35 (1.00–1.81)	0.047