Table 4.
Investor behavior on financial contagion under different market conditions.
| Dep. Variable | Contagion |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | Model (1) | Model (2) | Model (3) | Model (4) | Model (5) |
| Panel A. In the market melt-down period | |||||
| Constant | 0.177 | 0.444 | 0.233 | 2.026 | 2.026 |
| (15.93) | (15.56) | (19.36) | (19.09) | (16.16) | |
| Contagion | 0.935 | 0.937 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 0.652 |
| (225.33) | (227.41) | (199.86) | (195.17) | (30.45) | |
| Country attention | −0.029 | ||||
| (−4.44) | |||||
| Local attention | −0.020 | ||||
| (−3.01) | |||||
| Global attention | −0.078 | ||||
| (−13.54) | |||||
| Sentiment | −0.037 | ||||
| (−12.26) | |||||
| Fear | −0.003 | ||||
| (−7.97) | |||||
| Obs. | 7566 | 7566 | 7566 | 7566 | 1092 |
| Adj R-squared | 0.874 | 0.874 | 0.877 | 0.877 | 0.592 |
| Panel B. In the market melt-up period | |||||
| Constant | 0.222 | 0.219 | 0.302 | 0.220 | 1.367 |
| (34.14) | (33.85) | (40.43) | (33.91) | (69.91) | |
| Contagion | 0.886 | 0.888 | 0.844 | 0.887 | 0.402 |
| (265.15) | (267.41) | (218.46) | (266.31) | (49.36) | |
| Country attention | −0.009 | ||||
| (−4.44) | |||||
| Local attention | −0.002 | ||||
| (−1.06) | |||||
| Global attention | −0.020 | ||||
| (−21.50) | |||||
| Sentiment | −0.004 | ||||
| (−2.28) | |||||
| Fear | −0.0005 | ||||
| (−6.41) | |||||
| Obs. | 19 110 | 19 110 | 19 110 | 19 110 | 12 636 |
| Adj R-squared | 0.789 | 0.789 | 0.794 | 0.789 | 0.167 |
Notes: This table reports the results of the following regression during the market melt-down and melt-up periods: , where refers the pandemic-driven contagion of country at time and is defined as the sum of the tail dependence between country and its contagious countries. corresponds to the proxy variables of investor behavior including investor attention (country attention, local attention, and global attention), investor sentiment, and investor fear. and are country and daily fixed effects, respectively. -statistic is reported in parentheses. indicates significance at the 1% level. Country and daily fixed effects are included in the regression. The sample period for investor attention and sentiment is from January 1, 2019 to March 27, 2022, while for investor fear is from January 13, 2020 to March 27, 2022.