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. 2022 Jul 26;9:918330. doi: 10.3389/fnut.2022.918330

Table 2.

Time trend analysis of ASMR for cancer attributable to high body mass index from 1990 to 2019 by sex, SDI, and GBD region.

Sex/SDI/GBD region Trend 1 Trend 2 Trend 3 AAPC
Period APC Period APC Period APC
Overall 1990–1994 1.7 (1.2, 2.3) 1994–2001 0.9 (0.6, 1.2) 2001–2019 0.3 (0.2, 0.3) 0.6 (0.5, 0.7)
Sex
Male 1990–1994 2.4 (1.9, 2.9) 1994–2000 1.4 (1.1, 1.8) 2000–2019 0.6 (0.5, 0.6) 1.0 (0.9, 1.1)
Female 1990–2004 0.7 (0.6, 0.8) 2003–2014 −0.2 (−0.3, 0) 2014–2019 0.4 (0, 0.8) 0.3 (0.2, 0.4)
SDI
Low SDI 1990–1997 1.0 (0.8, 1.2) 1997–2011 2.4 (2.3, 2.5) 2011–2019 2.7 (2.5, 2.9) 2.1(2.0, 2.2)
Low-middle SDI 1990–2007 2.8 (2.7, 2.8) 2007–2010 2.0 (−0.4, 4.5) 2010–2019 3.0 (2.8, 3.2) 2.8 (2.5, 3.0)
Middle SDI 1990–2001 2.2 (2.1, 2.3) 2001–2016 0.9 (0.9, 1.0) 2016–2019 1.9 (1.2, 2.5) 1.5 (1.4, 1.6)
High-middle SDI 1990–1994 2.4 (1.8, 3.1) 1994–2004 0.3 (0.2, 0.5) 2004–2019 0 (−0.1, 0.1) 0.5 (0.4, 0.6)
High SDI 1990–2001 1.1 (1.0, 1.1) 2001–2017 −0.2 (−0.2, −0.1) 2017–2019 0.9 (−0.2, 1.9) 0.4 (0.3, 0.4)
Region
Central Asia 1990–1994 1.3 (0.5, 2.2) 1994–2000 −2.0 (−2.6, −1.5) 2000–2019 1.1 (1.0, 1.2) 0.5 (0.3, 0.7)
Central Europe 1990–2001 0.8 (0.7, 0.9) 2001–2008 1.3 (1.0, 1.6) 2008–2019 0.1 (0, 0.3) 0.7 (0.6, 0.8)
Eastern Europe 1990–1994 6.0 (4.0, 8.1) 1994–1997 −3.4 (−9.1, 2.5) 1997–2019 0.8 (0.6, 0.9) 1.0 (0.4, 1.7)
Australasia 1990–1996 1.2 (0.9, 1.5) 1996–2017 0.1 (0.1, 0.2) 2017–2019 0.8 (−1.0, 2.7) 0.4 (0.3, 0.6)
High-income Asia Pacific 1990–2000 1.7 (1.6–1.8) 2000–2017 −1.2 (−1.3, −1.2) 2017–2019 1.3 (−0.3, 3.1) −0.1 (−0.2, 0.1)
High-income North America 1990–1995 2.0 (1.7, 2.2) 1995–2002 1.1 (0.9, 1.3) 2002–2019 0.3 (0.2, 0.3) 0.8 (0.7, 0.8)
Southern Latin America 1990–2002 1.7 (1.5, 1.8) 2002–2014 −0.5 (−0.6, −0.4) 2014–2019 1.1 (0.6, 1.6) 0.7 (0.6, 0.8)
Western Europe 1990–2002 1.0 (0.9, 1.0) 2002–2016 −0.4 (−0.5, −0.4) 2016–2019 0.2 (−0.4, 0.7) 0.2 (0.1, 0.3)
Andean Latin America 1990–2001 0.9 (0.6, 1.2) 2001–2011 2.0 (1.5, 2.4) 2011–2019 0.6 (0.1, 1.1) 1.2 (1.0, 1.4)
Caribbean 1990–2000 −0.7 (−0.9, −0.4) 2000–2005 2.4 (1.4, 3.5) 2005–2019 1.7 (1.6, 1.9) 1.0 (0.8, 1.2)
Central Latin America 1990–1995 0.9 (0,4 1.4) 1995–2011 0.7 (0.6, 0.8) 2011–2019 1.4 (1.1, 1.7) 0.9 (0.8, 1.0)
Tropical Latin America 1990–2004 2.0 (1.9, 2.1) 2004–2013 1.0 (0.8, 1.2) 2013–2019 0 (−0.3, 0.3) 1.3 (1.2, 1.4)
North Africa and Middle East 1990–2002 0.8 (0.6, 0.9) 2002–2011 2.6 (2.4, 2.9) 2011–2019 1.5 (1.2, 1.8) 1.5 (1.4, 1.7)
South Asia 1990–2005 4.6 (4.3, 4.8) 2005–2011 1.3 (0.1, 2.6) 2011–2019 3.6 (3.0, 4.2) 3.6 (3.3, 3.9)
East Asia 1990–2001 2.3 (2.1, 2.4) 2001–2016 0 (0, 0.1) 2016–2019 3.3 (2.4, 4.3) 1.2 (1.1, 1.3)
Oceania 1990–2004 1.6 (1.5, 1.7) 2004–2013 −0.2 (−0.4, 0) 2013–2019 1.11 (0.9, 1,4) 0.9 (0.9, 1.0)
Southeast Asia 1990–1996 4.0 (3.5, 4.5) 1996–2014 3.4 (3.3, 3.5) 2014–2019 2.7 (2.1, 3.3) 3.4 (3.3, 3.6)
Central Sub-Saharan Africa 1990–1996 −0.1 (−0.6, 0.4) 1996–2008 −2.0 (−2.2, −1.9) 2008–2019 3.3 (3.1, 3.5) 0.4 (0.2, 0.5)
Eastern Sub-Saharan Africa 1990–1995 0.4 (0.1, 0.7) 1995–2001 2.2 (1.9, 2.6) 2001–2019 3.2 (3.2, 3.3) 2.5 (2.4, 2.6)
Southern Sub-Saharan Africa 1990–1995 3.6 (2.3, 5.0) 1995–1998 8.3 (2.2, 14.8) 1998–2019 −0.2 (−0.4, −0.1) 1.3 (0.7, 1.9)
Western Sub-Saharan Africa 1990–2007 2.8 (2.7, 2.9) 2007–2013 3.2 (2.8, 3.6) 2013–2019 2.2 (1.9, 2.5) 2.8 (2.7, 2.9)

AAPC, average annual percentage change; APC, annual percentage change; ASMR, age-standardized mortality rate; SDI, sociodemographic index.