Appendix 1—figure 21. Posterior estimates for the standard deviation of time from infectiousness to detection ($T_{d,sd}$ in the observation model) by week.

Thick black lines show the median, dark blue areas show the 50% CrIs, and light blue areas show the 95% CrIs. For reference, the dashed vertical black lines indicate three dates (mm/dd/yy), i.e., 10/15/20, 5/15/21, and 11/15/21, roughly the start of the Beta, Delta, and Omicron waves, respectively.