Table 2.
Sydney | Perth | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Period | Costs (Million AUD) |
Overall (95% CI) |
Cold (95% CI) |
Heat (95% CI) |
Costs (Million AUD) |
Overall (95% CI) |
Cold (95% CI) |
Heat (95% CI) |
|
2010s | |||||||||
Baseline | 493.2 |
23.71 (8.39; 34.96) |
23.69 (8.28; 34.99) |
0.02 (−0.08; 0.11) |
98.0 |
13.82 (5.95; 20.90) |
11.20 (2.93; 18.67) |
2.64 (0.65; 4.72) |
|
2030s | |||||||||
RCP2.6 | 623.8 |
20.26 (6.02; 30.73) |
20.24 (5.84; 30.97) |
0.03 (−0.24; 0.28) |
118.6 |
11.34 (5.79; 16.69) |
6.75 (1.22; 11.80) |
4.61 (1.10; 8.25) |
|
RCP4.5 | 617.7 |
20.07 (5.92; 30.53) |
20.04 (5.73; 30.79) |
0.03 (−0.25; 0.29) |
118.1 |
11.29 (5.79; 16.62) |
6.64 (1.16; 11.64) |
4.67 (1.10; 8.35) |
|
RCP8.5 | 605.4 |
19.67 (5.73; 30.12) |
19.64 (5.49; 30.32) |
0.03 (−0.29; 0.34) |
117.2 |
11.20 (5.73; 16.40) |
6.46 (1.05; 11.38) |
4.76 (1.14; 8.50) |
|
2050s | |||||||||
RCP2.6 | 784.5 |
20.11 (5.96; 30.54) |
20.08 (5.77; 30.81) |
0.03 (−0.25; 0.30) |
155.9 |
11.24 (5.76; 16.54) |
6.63 (1.16; 11.62) |
4.63 (1.09; 8.30) |
|
RCP4.5 | 753.2 |
19.30 (5.58; 29.67) |
19.28 (5.20; 29.94) |
0.04 (−0.33; 0.39) |
151.2 |
10.90 (5.54; 15.93) |
5.91 (0.80; 10.62) |
5.01 (1.25; 8.93) |
|
RCP8.5 | 705.8 |
18.09 (5.06; 28.04) |
18.04 (4.62; 28.40) |
0.06 (−0.49; 0.57) |
146.1 |
10.54 (5.40; 15.69) |
5.07 (0.37; 9.41) |
5.48 (1.39; 9.78) |
Bold cells indicate temperature-attributable hospitalization costs.