Table 3.
Association between environmental predictors and the density of I. scapularis nymphs on residential properties in univariate Poisson models using all observations and after removing the two outlier residential sitesa one at a time to test the sensitivity of modelb.
| Unit of increase | Using all observations (n = 24) | Removing conifer property (n = 23) | Removing high density I. scapularis nymph property (n = 23) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Environmental variable | RRc | p-value | RR | p-value | RR | p-value | |
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| Percent forest within residential parcel | 10% | 1.2 | < 0.001d | 1.2 | < 0.001d | 1.0 | 0.67 |
| Percent forest within 500 m of residential parcel | 10% | 1.5 | < 0.0001d | 1.5 | < 0.0001d | 0.9 | < 0.0001d |
| Percent forest within 1 km of residential parcel | 10% | 1.4 | < 0.0001d | 1.4 | < 0.0001d | 0.9 | < 0.0001d |
| Forest edge density within 500 m of residential parcel | 10 m/m2 | 1.2 | < 0.0001d | 1.2 | < 0.001d | 0.9 | < 0.001d |
| Forest edge density within 1 km of residential parcel | 10 m/m2 | 1.2 | < 0.0001d | 1.2 | < 0.0001d | 0.9 | < 0.001d |
| Signs of deer on property | Presence | 3.3 | 0.12 | 3.8 | 0.09 | 6.3 | < 0.001d |
| Presence of fence on property | Presence | 1.4 | 0.01 | 1.4 | 0.06 | 2.0 | 0.22 |
| Compost pile on property | Presence | 0.3 | < 0.0001d | 0.3 | < 0.0001d | 0.9 | 0.08 |
| Log pile on property | Presence | 4.2 | 0.10 | 4.8 | 0.08 | 14.3 | < 0.001d |
| Bird feeder on property | Presence | 0.4 | 0.29 | 0.4 | 0.27 | 0.8 | 0.02 |
| Forest type (versus deciduous forest) | |||||||
| Coniferous forest | Presence | 1.0 | 0.98 | – | – | 1.8 | 0.35 |
| Mixed deciduous/coniferous forest | Presence | 3.9 | < 0.01d | 4.2 | < 0.0001d | 0.8 | 0.42 |
Two outlier residential sites that were tested are: (1) property with coniferous forest and 2) property with high I. scapularis nymphal density.
Offset variable included for number of drags completed on a residential property in order to account for sampling effort. Log (area of the property in km2) included as a fixed effect to account for differences in property size. Variable to indicate whether a residential property was located near Lake Elmo Park Reserve or William O’Brien State Park was included to account for correlation among households within a neighborhood.
RR = Risk Ratio.
Significant at α = 0.05.