Table 1.

The input parameters explored in the global parameter search, their type and their ranges that define the search region ${\mathcal{X}}_0$.

input parameter $(x_i)$	type	range
${\beta }_{\mathrm{pub}}$	location-dependent contact intensity	[0.02,0.6]
${\beta }_{\mathrm{grocery}}$	—	[0.02,0.6]
${\beta }_{\mathrm{cinema}}$	—	[0.02,0.6]
${\beta }_{\mathrm{university}}$	—	[0.02,0.6]
${\beta }_{\mathrm{city}\hspace{0.17em}\mathrm{transport}}$	—	[0.08,0.77]
${\beta }_{\mathrm{inter}\hspace{0.17em}\mathrm{city}\hspace{0.17em}\mathrm{transport}}$	—	[0.08,1.2]
${\beta }_{\mathrm{hospital}}$	—	[0.08,1.2]
${\beta }_{\mathrm{care}\hspace{0.17em}\mathrm{home}}$	—	[0.08,1.2]
${\beta }_{\mathrm{company}}$	—	[0.08,1.2]
${\beta }_{\mathrm{school}}$	—	[0.08,1.2]
${\beta }_{\mathrm{household}}$	—	[0.08,1.2]
${\beta }_{\mathrm{carevisits}}$	—	[0.1,10]
${\beta }_{\mathrm{householdvisits}}$	—	[0.1,10]
${\alpha }_{\mathrm{physical}}$	physical contact factor	[1.8,3]
${\alpha }_{\mathrm{seed}\hspace{0.17em}\mathrm{strength}}$	modifies initial/seeding infections	[0.1,2]
$M_{\mathrm{quarantine}\hspace{0.17em}\mathrm{household}\hspace{0.17em}\mathrm{compliance}}$	quarantine compliance	[0.034,0.26]
$M_{\mathrm{socialdistancing}}\hspace{0.17em}{\beta }_{\mathrm{factor}}$	social distance (1 week prior to lockdown)	[0.65,0.95]
$M_{\mathrm{sd}3\hspace{0.17em}\mathrm{random}\hspace{0.17em}\mathrm{factor}\hspace{0.17em}\mathrm{all}}$	enhanced social distance (full lockdown)	[0.1,0.5]
$M_{\mathrm{sd}4\hspace{0.17em}\mathrm{random}\hspace{0.17em}\mathrm{factor}\hspace{0.17em}\mathrm{all}}$	social distance (post lockdown, non-leisure)	[0.25,1]
$M_{\mathrm{sd}4\hspace{0.17em}\mathrm{random}\hspace{0.17em}\mathrm{factor}\hspace{0.17em}\mathrm{leisure}}$	social distance (post lockdown, leisure)	[0.25,1]