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. 2022 Aug 15;380(2233):20210303. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2021.0303

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© 2022 The Authors.

Published by the Royal Society under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/, which permits unrestricted use, provided the original author and source are credited.

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Figure 3. — Estimations of local time-varying reproduction numbers in simulated epidemics for Hong Kong and Victoria under three sets of error misidentification rates: $α_{0} \sim 0.1$ , and $α_{1} \sim 0.3, 0.4 or 0.5$ . The error bands are the averages of 95% credible intervals over 1000 trials at each time point.