Table 4.

Model performance on cardiometabolic risk targets. Out-of-bag model performance for each of the 5 model types computed for the 4 targets. A smaller Brier score indicates a better performing model for a given target.

	Baselinea, mean (SD)	RestingHRb, mean (SD)	HighRes.ActiveSegc, mean (SD)	HighRes.SedenSegc, mean (SD)	HighRes.SleepSegc, mean (SD)	SummaryStats, mean (SD)
anyRISKoutof9	0.291 (−5.87×10−4)	0.258 (7.7×10−4)	0.253 (8.52×10−4)	0.239 (−9×10−4)	0.245 (8.43×10−4)	0.247 (7.66×10−4)
bp_abnormal	0.227 (4.79×10−4)	0.223 (5.61×10−4)	0.217 (7.88×10−4)	0.222 (8.14×10−4)	0.225 (8.32×10−4)	0.225 (7.9×10−4)
obesity	0.246 (6.64×10−4)	0.227 (7.91×10−4)	0.221 (8.92×10−4)	0.214 (9.34×10−4)	0.226 (8.64×10−4)	0.227 (8.54×10−4)
lipids_abnormal	0.271 (5.84×10−4)	0.261 (6.64×10−4)	0.238 (8.08×10−4)	0.225 (7.58×10−4)	0.241 (8.27×10−4)	0.236 (7.3×10−4)

^aFor each risk target, the Brier scores of the baseline model were significantly different from those of all other models (P<.001).

^bFor each risk target, Brier scores of the resting heart rate model (RestingHR) were significantly different from all other models (P<.001).

^cFor each risk target, Brier scores of the 3 HighRes models were significantly different from each other (P<.001).