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. 2022 Aug 16;130(8):087006. doi: 10.1289/EHP10287

Figure 2.

Figure 2 is a flowchart with four steps. Step 1: Update calibration data for the previous year for each forecast year. Mosquito plus environmental data through the preceding year and human case data through the preceding year lead to human equals function (mosquito plus environmental). Model human cases as a function of mosquito and environmental data. Step 2: Human equals function (mosquito plus environmental), which includes mosquito plus environmental data through forecast week 1, leads to mosquito plus environmental data through forecast week 2, leads to mosquito plus environmental data through forecast week 3, leads to mosquito plus environmental data through forecast week 17. For each forecast week, update the forecast year data through the current week. Step 3: Using four line graphs, generate forecasts for each predicted week in the current year. Step 4: Compute accuracy statistics for each forecast week with a line graph.

Major steps for calibrating the Arbovirus Monitoring and Prediction (ArboMAP) system, generating weekly forecasts, and computing accuracy statistics. Note: Env, environmental; Mosq, mosquito.