Table 10.
The results of forecasting (second approach and product with shortage).
| Forecasting accuracy | Single expo. smooth. | Double expo. smooth. | Moving average | Holt's Linear | Holt-Winter's Multip. | Holt-Winter's Additive | Holt-Winter's no trend | Naive |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAPE | 15.86 | 7.11 | 9.27 | 8.00 | 6.01 | 6.02 | 11.86 | 7.06 |
| MSE | 152158 | 35305 | 65323 | 49069 | 26876 | 26934 | 100024 | 52759 |
| U2 | 2.88405 | 0.66918 | 1.23815 | 0.93006 | 0.50941 | 0.51051 | 1.89589 | 1.0 |