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Forecast effect comparison.
| Mean square error (MSE) | Root mean square error (RMSE) | Mean absolute deviation(MAE) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year forecast effect comparison | Neural networks | 0.1787 | 0.4916 | 0.2853 |
| ARIMA model | 0.2291 | 0.4885 | 0.3366 | |
|
| ||||
| 10-year forecast effect comparison | Neural networks | 0.4790 | 0.7315 | 0.4739 |
| ARIMA model | 0.5402 | 0.6979 | 0.4896 | |
|
| ||||
| 20-year forecast effect comparison | Neural networks | 0.7440 | 0.7745 | 0.6899 |
| ARIMA model | 0.6590 | 0.8308 | 0.7455 | |
