Table 4.
Comparison of optimized forecasting effects.
| Mean square error (MSE) | Root mean square error (RMSE) | Mean absolute deviation (MAE) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year forecast effect comparison | Neural networks | 0.2158 | 0.4574 | 0.3106 |
| ARIMA model | 0.2227 | 0.5475 | 0.2739 | |
| Optimization algorithm model | 0.2093 | 0.4825 | 0.2623 | |
|
| ||||
| 10-year forecast effect comparison | Neural networks | 0.4834 | 0.6987 | 0.5419 |
| ARIMA model | 0.5422 | 0.7238 | 0.4509 | |
| Optimization algorithm model | 0.4828 | 0.6913 | 0.4664 | |
|
| ||||
| 20-year forecast effect comparison | Neural networks | 0.6610 | 0.8358 | 0.6799 |
| ARIMA model | 0.6744 | 0.7970 | 0.6684 | |
| Optimization algorithm model | 0.6477 | 0.7964 | 0.6442 | |